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Will the premium of SHFE copper rise sharply in July?
Jun 27, 2025 18:35
The continuously declining spot premiums of Shanghai spot copper surged rapidly in the latter half of the week. What was the reason behind this?
![Copper Cathode Rod Exports Hit New High in May, But Expected to Decline in June [SMM Analysis]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/production/admin/votes/imagesiqWEj20240311161746.jpeg)
Central Banks Hawkish Language Continue To Weigh On Copper Prices
Stronger-than-expected economic data released last week, including new home sales in May, durable goods orders in May and the consumer confidence index in June in the US pointed to a strong US economy. Powell said at the ECB Forum on Central Banking last Wednesday that there may be several interest rate hikes in the future in the midst of strong economic data, and another aggressive interest rate hike to curb inflation is not ruled out.
Jul 3, 2023 17:41
SMM Review Of Spot Copper Market In Shanghai Last Week
Spot premiums fell initially and then rose last week. In the first half of the week, market participants focused on stock liquidation due to the month-end and mid-year settlement, lowering spot premiums. On Tuesday last week, SMM spot premiums of #1 copper cathode averaged 200 yuan/mt against next-month invoices. In the second half of the week, sellers raised their quotes and spot premiums exceeded 300 yuan/mt against next-month invoices.
Jul 3, 2023 17:41
Import Losses Continued To Narrow, Yangshan Copper Premiums Seen Rising
Yangshan copper premiums with a quotation period in July stood at $42-57/mt under warrants during June 26-30, with the average up $3.4/mt from June 21. Those stood between $41-57/mt under bill of lading with a quotation period in July, with the average up $2.6/mt. As of June 30, the SHFE/LME copper price ratio stood at 8.29, and import losses stood at 233 yuan/mt against the SHFE July copper contract.
Jul 3, 2023 17:37
Antofagasta and Chinese Smelters Finalised Spot Copper Concentrate Tcs Under Long-Term Contracts For 2024
SMM understood that Antofagasta and Chinese smelters finalised Cu 50% copper concentrate TC/RCs under long-term contracts for 2024 at $88/mt and $0.088/mt, up $12/mt and $0.012/mt respectively, from those 2022.
Jul 3, 2023 17:37
Several Factors Will Pressure Copper Concentrate Spot TCs In Second Half Of 2023
As of Friday June 30, the SMM Imported Copper Concentrate Index (weekly) stood at $91.53/mt, $0.43/mt higher than June 21. During the week, spot trades of copper concentrate cooled down. SMM learned that one smelter and a trader traded 10,000 mt of clean ore scheduled for August with TCs of $90/mt.
Jul 3, 2023 17:36
Disruptions from Chile Floods on copper mine were Weaker than Expected
Codelco's Andina Copper Mine (with output of 177,000 mt of copper content in 2022) resumed production after a brief outage caused by the floods in Chile. The key infrastructure equipment of the mine was not affected, though some roads in the mining area were washed away.
Jul 3, 2023 17:35
China Requires Payment for Delinquent VAT, Copper Rod Plants Using Copper Scrap In Some Areas Cautious In Production
The operating rates of copper rod plants using copper scrap were 48.96% between June 26 and June 30, a drop of 0.61 percentage point from a week earlier, according to SMM survey of 15 plants with a capacity of 1.48 million mt/year). The supply of copper scrap last week was no longer the main factor restricting the production of copper rod produced with copper scrap.
Jul 3, 2023 17:31
SMM Review and Forecast of Copper Prices
The US dollar index fell the most since January two weeks ago as the Fed paused interest rate hike. Real estate data in the US issued last week exceeded expectations, growing market expectations over US economic growth. Interest rates were thus expected to remain high and the US dollar index rebounded last week. Should Fed officials maintain hawkish tone, the US dollar index will continue to rebound, which will cap the gains in copper prices. In the eurozone, high inflation is still an important issue facing the British economy. The pound will continue to put pressure on the dollar in the future.
Jun 26, 2023 15:35
SMM Review And Forecast Of Spot Copper Market In Shanghai
There were only three trading days last week due to the Chinese Dragon Boat Festival holidays. Spot premiums soared to the highest for the year (with an average of 630 yuan/mt for SMM #1 copper cathode on June 20) and then fell back (with an average of 460 yuan/mt for SMM #1 copper cathode on June 21).
Jun 26, 2023 15:33
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