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Recent news from Bloomberg, citing sources within the Indonesia Nickel Miners Association (APNI), indicate that Indonesia could be steering toward a major turn in the global nickel supply chain. The government is reportedly weighing a plan to slash the approved nickel ore production quota, known as RKAB, for 2026 to around 250 million tons, which would represent a drop of roughly 34% compared to 2025 levels. If finalized, the move would signal a notable shift in policy from the world’s top nickel producer, with the clear intent of tightening supply and supporting nickel prices, which have remained under pressure. Whether such a reduction is practically feasible, however, remains an open question.

Dec 12, 2025 17:42
Q1 2026 Japan MJP (main ports) aluminum ingot premium is expected to rebound from the low of $86/mt in Q4 2025, with the center rising. The core logic stems from tightening supply in Asia triggered by the restructuring of global aluminum trade flows, coupled with catalysts from European carbon policies and structural demand support. The latest offers from leading smelters have already indicated an upward trend, but restocking constraints due to the end of Japan's fiscal year may limit the extent of the rebound. Detailed analysis is as follows:










