EIA Cuts Brent and WTI Oil Price Forecasts for 2023 as Recession Fears, Inflation and Banking Crisis Overshadow OPEC's Production Cuts

Published: May 12, 2023 17:26
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on May 9 that pessimism about a weak global economy, inflation and continued turmoil in the banking industry overshadowed concerns about OPEC's production cuts, dragging down the outlook for crude oil, gasoline and diesel prices.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on May 9 that pessimism about a weak global economy, inflation and continued turmoil in the banking industry overshadowed concerns about OPEC's production cuts, dragging down the outlook for crude oil, gasoline and diesel prices.

In its short-term energy outlook for May, the EIA lowered its forecast for the average price of Brent crude oil in 2023 by US$6.36/barrel to US$78.65/barrel, much lower than its forecast of US$85/barrel in April. Similarly, the agency predicts that WTI crude oil will average $73.62 a barrel in 2023, $5.62 lower than last month's estimate.

More popular news

CITI Research Lowers Price Forecast for Nickel, Aluminium and Zinc in 2023-2024 But Bets on Higher Copper Prices


Chinese Lithium Giant Denies Rumours, More Players Extend Industry Chain to Downstream Automakers


Goldman Sachs: China will be the only major economy with positive growth this year, bullish bets on new energy vehicles and biotechnology in the long run


Key April Chinese Economic Data Are Released, Including Real Estate Investment, Industrial Added Value and Consumer Goods Retail Sales


SMM Comment: SHFE And LME Base Metals Mostly Rise, Ferrous Metals And Crude Oil Also Outperform, US Dollar Softens


China’s Central Bank Releases Key April Economic Data: RMB Loans Issued to the Real Economy, Newly-Added Social Financing, Newly Added RMB Loans, Balance of M2, M1 and M0, All Recording Enormous Growth       

      

IMF: Asia-Pacific To Contribute More Than 70% To Global Economic Growth, With China Being Key Engine


Dollar, Oil, Gold, Base Metals, Ferrous Metals All Go Down, EIA Cuts Oil Price Forecast


IMF: Western Sanctions against Russia Are Ineffective, European Economy Faces Multiple Challenges


Chinese Property Market Still In Downturn, But On Track To Recover With Improving Economy And Favourable Policies, National Bureau Of Statistics Says


China To Actively Expand Domestic Effective Demand And Boost New Energy Vehicle Sales, National Development And Reform Commission Says         


Goldman Sachs, Barclays warn: Fed will not cut interest rates this year

      

Balance of M2, M1 and M0 All Rise at the End of April, China’s Central Bank Says


India to become Europe’s top supplier of refined oil products after massive purchases of Russian oil


EIA Cuts Brent and WTI Oil Price Forecasts for 2023 as Recession Fears, Inflation and Banking Crisis Overshadow OPEC's Production Cuts

  

Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and BoA Are Pessimistic, Here Is Why


Global Chip Market Will Decline 20% This Year

      

Domestic Steel Scrap Prices Plummeted In April


Investment Tycoon Charlie Munger Warns A Storm Is Brewing In US Commercial Property Market And The Golden Age Of Investment Is Over      


Chile’s Latest Move Marks One Step Closer to the Establishment of Lithium Version of OPEC


Sunwoda's "Flash Charge Battery" Can Power Electric Cars 1,000 Kilometres on A Single Charge


Massive Aluminium Capacity In China To Be Resumed Or Put Into Operation In H2 2023


"No One Understands Global Economy Better Than I Do"! Tesla CEO Musk Warns of Severe Recession Looming Large


Accelerating RMB Globalisation Threatens Dollar’s Dominance          




Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Ventec Invests $47.3M in Kunshan Factory Expansion for CCL Production Boost
6 hours ago
Ventec Invests $47.3M in Kunshan Factory Expansion for CCL Production Boost
Read More
Ventec Invests $47.3M in Kunshan Factory Expansion for CCL Production Boost
Ventec Invests $47.3M in Kunshan Factory Expansion for CCL Production Boost
Taiwan copper-clad laminate (CCL) maker Ventec International Group (6672.TW) approved on September 17 a NT$1.5 billion (approximately US$47.3 million) expansion budget to lease and upgrade an idle factory in Kunshan, Jiangsu, deploying two automated lines targeting monthly capacity of 500,000 CCL sheets and 2.4 million meters of prepreg. The 20,000 square meter site sits next to the company's existing operations and benefits from existing environmental permits, allowing mass production roughly one year earlier than a greenfield project. Planned spending is about RMB 41.76 million for building upgrades and RMB 246 million for machinery and equipment. The product mix covers M6 high-speed materials ramping up, with M7/M8/M9 grades under qualification with international server and optical-module customers. Ventec reported record August consolidated revenue of NT$810 million, up 133.2% year on year, with the first eight months up 53.6%. The Kunshan plant will complement the company's Thailand facility and serve AI servers, high-speed switches, optical modules and automotive electronics, lifting demand for upstream copper foil and electrolytic copper foil.
6 hours ago
Copper Scrap Market Sees Sharp Adjustments as Prices Fall, Supply Constraints Persist
7 hours ago
Copper Scrap Market Sees Sharp Adjustments as Prices Fall, Supply Constraints Persist
Read More
Copper Scrap Market Sees Sharp Adjustments as Prices Fall, Supply Constraints Persist
Copper Scrap Market Sees Sharp Adjustments as Prices Fall, Supply Constraints Persist
This week (Sep 14-Sep 17), the copper scrap market underwent sharp adjustments after copper prices pulled back significantly from last week's high above 112,000 yuan/mt, bottoming out at 108,370 yuan/mt by the weekend. The most-traded SHFE copper contract continued to slide from 108,240 yuan/mt at the start of the week to an intraweek low of 107,320 yuan/mt.
7 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] Detailed Data on China's Sulphuric Acid Production in August
8 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] Detailed Data on China's Sulphuric Acid Production in August
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Detailed Data on China's Sulphuric Acid Production in August
[SMM Analysis] Detailed Data on China's Sulphuric Acid Production in August
NBS data shows that China's sulphuric acid (100% equivalent) production in August was 7.984 million mt, down 308,000 mt from 7.676 million mt in July, a YoY decline of 15.5%. The cumulative production of sulphuric acid (100% equivalent) in 2026 was 68.141 million mt, a cumulative YoY decline of 4.6%.
8 hours ago