This time, Thailand initiated an anti-circumvention investigation against the involved products from China. According to data from the General Administration of Customs, the total volume of China's involved products exported to Thailand in the first nine months of 2025 was 153,400 mt, accounting for 3.92% of China's total exports of the involved products, indicating a relatively limited overall impact. In an extreme scenario, this could lead to a decrease of 153,400 mt in China's total exports in 2026.
Data show that the top five countries for China's exports of the involved products in 2025 were the Philippines (25.35%), Indonesia (7.34%), Brazil (5.59%), Vietnam (5.21%), and Thailand (3.92%). In 2020, the top five countries were Thailand (18.89%), South Korea (7.34%), the Philippines (5.59%), Vietnam (5.21%), and Myanmar (3.92%). It is evident that while Thailand has increased anti-dumping and anti-circumvention investigations against China's involved products, domestic export traders are actively seeking new export destinations to hedge against the pressure. However, currently, China's exports of the involved products to the Philippines account for 25.35%, which is excessively high and requires vigilance against potential investigations by the Philippines on China's involved products