Supply Shock from Imports and Seasonal Lull to Hit Zinc Prices, Despite Falling Social Inventory

Published: May 24, 2023 09:54
Source: SMM
LME zinc opened at $2,422.5/mt on Tuesday and went down before closing at $2,354/mt, down $71.5/mt or 2.95%.

SHANGHAI, May 24 (SMM) - LME zinc opened at $2,422.5/mt on Tuesday and went down before closing at $2,354/mt, down $71.5/mt or 2.95%. Trading volume added 1,265 lots to 9,278 lots, and open interest rose 2,652 lots to 186,000 lots. LME zinc inventory decreased by 500 mt to 45,775 mt, a drop of 1.08%. The US Federal Reserve said it may raise interest rates further to curb inflation. The US debt crisis is looming large, thus the market sentiment was bearish, sending LME zinc prices down.

The most-traded SHFE 2307 zinc contract opened at 19,660 yuan/mt overnight and closed at 1,963 yuan/mt, down 435 yuan/mt or 2.17%. Trading volume fell 60,636 lots to 78,236 lots, and open interest rose 349 lots to 138,000 lots. The social inventory of zinc ingots continues to fall, but the fundamentals are about to weaken. Smelters maintain high operating rates. Inflows of imported zinc ingots will have an impact on the domestic market. Downstream consumption is in the off-season. As such, SHFE zinc prices may go down soon.


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Shipping Disruptions in Hormuz Strait Tighten Sulfuric Acid Supplies, Pushing Prices Up
30 mins ago
Shipping Disruptions in Hormuz Strait Tighten Sulfuric Acid Supplies, Pushing Prices Up
Read More
Shipping Disruptions in Hormuz Strait Tighten Sulfuric Acid Supplies, Pushing Prices Up
Shipping Disruptions in Hormuz Strait Tighten Sulfuric Acid Supplies, Pushing Prices Up
Disruptions to shipping routes and the Strait of Hormuz are tightening sulfuric acid supplies. The Middle East accounts for about 24% of global sulfur output, with nearly 40% of seaborne sulfur passing through Hormuz. Chile’s main suppliers—China, Peru and South Korea—are affected, pushing spot prices up nearly 20% since early 2026. Chile is advancing domestic smelter projects to reduce import reliance and secure supply.
30 mins ago
Northern Environmental Protection Measures Resumed, Galvanizing Operating Rates Declined Slightly [SMM Galvanizing Weekly Review]
1 hour ago
Northern Environmental Protection Measures Resumed, Galvanizing Operating Rates Declined Slightly [SMM Galvanizing Weekly Review]
Read More
Northern Environmental Protection Measures Resumed, Galvanizing Operating Rates Declined Slightly [SMM Galvanizing Weekly Review]
Northern Environmental Protection Measures Resumed, Galvanizing Operating Rates Declined Slightly [SMM Galvanizing Weekly Review]
[Renewed Environmental Protection Measures in Northern China Slightly Weighed on Galvanizing Operating Rates]: This week, the operating rate of the galvanizing industry was 58.88, down slightly by 0.81 percentage points WoW. Raw material side, zinc prices rebounded this week, downstream pick-up of goods was limited and consumption was mainly from existing stocks, but zinc ingots previously price-fixed by galvanising enterprises arrived one after another, leading to a slight decline in zinc ingot inventory at galvanising enterprises. The lower operating rate was mainly due to the renewed environmental protection measures in some northern regions, which affected operations.
1 hour ago
Zinc Prices Fluctuated at Highs, and Trading Weakened This Week [SMM Tianjin Spot Zinc Weekly Review]
1 hour ago
Zinc Prices Fluctuated at Highs, and Trading Weakened This Week [SMM Tianjin Spot Zinc Weekly Review]
Read More
Zinc Prices Fluctuated at Highs, and Trading Weakened This Week [SMM Tianjin Spot Zinc Weekly Review]
Zinc Prices Fluctuated at Highs, and Trading Weakened This Week [SMM Tianjin Spot Zinc Weekly Review]
[Zinc Prices Fluctuated at Highs, Trading Weakened This Week]: Spot premiums in Tianjin rose slightly this week, up 15 yuan/mt WoW. As of this Friday, in China, standard brands were quoted at discounts of around 50-80 yuan/mt against the 2604 contract, high-priced brands at discounts of around 20-30 yuan/mt against the 2604 contract, and Tianjin was quoted at a discount of around 30 yuan/mt against Shanghai.
1 hour ago