In March 2025, China's aluminum processing industry composite PMI rose to 61.6%, entering expansion territory, driven by policy dividends and seasonal peak effects that propelled structural recovery. Aluminum plate/strip (63.3%) and foil (69.3%) benefited from automotive/battery demand and old-for-new policies, though constrained by Indian anti-dumping measures and declining overseas orders. Architectural aluminum profile new orders exceeded 70%, while industrial profiles maintained expansion through new energy/solar demand, yet SMEs faced over 50% idle capacity due to technical bottlenecks. Aluminum cable production index surged to 73.05% as industry leader, driven by front-loaded ultra-high voltage orders and grid delivery schedules. Recycled aluminum PMI jumped 27.7 percentage points to 70.4%, but high aluminum prices suppressed procurement, revealing weak recovery in primary aluminum and inventory risks in recycled sectors. Although April's solar policy updates and grid peak season may sustain growth momentum, aluminum prices exceeding ¥21,000/ton could dampen purchasing enthusiasm. Coupled with export pressures and SME overcapacity, the industry's overall upside potential remains constrained.