The European tungsten market is experiencing a severe supply crisis, driving APT prices to $750-780/mtu after a $100 surge in just two weeks. This unprecedented rally, far exceeding gains in China, stems from a perfect storm: China's export controls have halted APT flows, overseas smelters face raw material shortages, and European scrap supply is strained. With global mine supply increasingly funneling to China and no immediate relief from new projects, prices are expected to remain high in 2026. Market focus should be on Chinese supply-chain dynamics, the critical role of scrap tungsten, and the reorientation of global mine flows.