【SMM Analysis】Weekly Battery Raw Materials Market Update: Cobalt and Lithium Price Rises Drive Shifts in Black Mass Coefficients

Published: Oct 31, 2025 19:17
This week, prices for salt products including cobalt sulfate and nickel sulfate continued to rise, while lithium carbonate prices also increased due to solid demand and other fundamental factors. The upward movement in cobalt salts led to slight increases in the black mass coefficients for both ternary and lithium cobalt oxide (LCO) materials. However, as the pace of cobalt price increases moderated, the rate of growth for discount coefficients of cobalt and lithium also slowed.

This week, prices for salt products including cobalt sulfate and nickel sulfate continued to rise, while lithium carbonate prices also increased due to solid demand and other fundamental factors. The upward movement in cobalt salts led to slight increases in the black mass coefficients for both ternary and lithium cobalt oxide (LCO) materials. However, as the pace of cobalt price increases moderated, the rate of growth for discount coefficients of cobalt and lithium also slowed.


The lithium point price for LFP black mass rose this week, tracking the increase in lithium salt prices. Using LFP electrode black mass as an example, the current price range is 2,700–2,900 CNY per lithium point, reflecting an increase of 75 CNY per lithium point compared to the previous period.


For ternary black mass, the nickel-cobalt coefficient currently stands at 74–76%, unchanged from last week, while the lithium coefficient has risen to a range of 70–73%.


On the profitability front, the production of lithium carbonate using externally sourced LFP black mass continues to incur losses, with profit margins between -5% and -6%. With the exception of a few newly commissioned LFP hydrometallurgical plants this year, most LFP recycling enterprises maintain production lines capable of processing alternative raw materials for lithium carbonate production. Consequently, even amid improving lithium carbonate prices, many operators have chosen to suspend procurement and production in response to persistent losses.


The situation is similar in the ternary hydrometallurgical sector, where profits generally remain in the 1–3% range. For LCO hydrometallurgical processors, continued cobalt price increases have driven up cobalt coefficients throughout the recycling chain, compressing current profits to approximately 1–3%.


On the supply side, following price increases for nickel, cobalt, and lithium, upstream recyclers have quickly adjusted prices for batteries and electrode materials, including LCO and LFP batteries and electrode sheets. Black mass prices have also risen accordingly.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
21 hours ago
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
Read More
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
According to the latest data from the Passenger Car Association, in December 2025, producers with new energy wholesale sales exceeding 10,000 units accounted for 93% of the total wholesale sales of passenger NEVs that month. Based on preliminary January data, these producers achieved sales of 830,000 units in January. As most producers have already locked in their major sales figures, by applying the structural proportion from the previous month to the current month's data, the estimated wholesale sales of passenger NEVs nationwide in January were 900,000 units. According to comprehensive preliminary monthly association data: the estimated wholesale sales of NEVs by national passenger car producers in January 2026 were 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
21 hours ago
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
21 hours ago
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
Read More
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
据中国汽车工业协会整理的海关总署数据显示,2025年12月,汽车整车进口3.0万辆,环比下降30.4%,同比下降56.1%;进口金额14.7亿美元,环比下降23.6%,同比下降52.5%。2025年,汽车整车进口47.6万辆,同比下降32.4%;进口金额236.4亿美元,同比下降39.7%。
21 hours ago
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
21 hours ago
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
Read More
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
According to CCTV News, on February 5, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced a new electric vehicle strategy, including the reinstatement of car purchase subsidies, and stated that Canada will cooperate with China to promote the local production and export of EVs in Canada. According to a statement released by the Prime Minister's Office of Canada, the country will make full use of existing and newly established trade agreements, including a recently reached EV cooperation agreement with China, to facilitate large-scale investment in this sector, diversify Canada’s automotive export markets, and position Canada as one of the global leaders in the electric vehicle industry.
21 hours ago
【SMM Analysis】Weekly Battery Raw Materials Market Update: Cobalt and Lithium Price Rises Drive Shifts in Black Mass Coefficients - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)