SMM Analysis On China July Lithium Hydroxide Production And August Forecast

Published: Aug 12, 2024 11:47
Source: SMM
In July 2024, China's lithium hydroxide production reached 32,300 mt, down 8.3% MoM, up 21% YoY. By raw material type, the production of lithium hydroxide using smelting method in July reached 29,000 mt, down 9.5% MoM, up 31.6% YoY. The production of lithium hydroxide using causticisation method reached 3,300 mt, up 3% MoM, down 28% YoY.

In July 2024, China's lithium hydroxide production reached 32,300 mt, down 8.3% MoM, up 21% YoY. By raw material type, the production of lithium hydroxide using smelting method in July reached 29,000 mt, down 9.5% MoM, up 31.6% YoY. The production of lithium hydroxide using causticisation method reached 3,300 mt, up 3% MoM, down 28% YoY.

Supply side, in July, China's production of lithium hydroxide using smelting method showed a downward trend, while that using causticisation method slightly increased. The overall scheduled production of lithium hydroxide using causticisation method remained stable with slight growth, mainly due to the ramp-up of production after the completion of a major producer's production line adjustment, but the operating rate of most lithium hydroxide producers using causticisation method remained low. Additionally, lithium hydroxide producers using smelting method saw a significant reduction in July due to decreased demand and maintenance.

Demand side, in July, orders from major ternary cathode material producers increased significantly, leading to a substantial increase in overall scheduled production and a rebound in demand for lithium hydroxide. Major producers saw a notable increase in July. The production of ternary cathode materials in July was 59,000 mt, up 20% MoM from June's 49,000 mt; the increases for the 6-series and 8-series were 5% and 40%, respectively, with high-nickel showing the highest increase. Most cathode material producers maintained a high proportion of over 50% of lithium hydroxide supplied by customers, and long-term contracts were generally enough to sustain production, resulting in low sentiment for spot orders. SMM expects that lithium hydroxide production in August will reach 33,600 mt, up 4% MoM, up 32% YoY, mainly due to the completion of maintenance and production ramp-up at a major producer in Jiangxi, leading to a slight increase in August's lithium hydroxide production.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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