PCAM and CAM price review and forecast

Published: Mar 15, 2024 23:51
In the week ending March 14, Series 5, 6, and 8 precursor prices rose slightly due to increasing raw material costs. Precursor firms raised their prices, but difficulty in passing on these increases kept transaction prices stable. Suppliers, affected by high nickel sulphate prices, are cautious with accepting orders and are aligning production with sales. Demand is supported by optimism in the nickel sulphate market and encouraging March vehicle sales, leading to active inquiries. However, downstream buyers are resistant to costly precursors, limiting the potential for substantial price increases in ternary precursors.

Ternary precursor


In the week ending March 14, Series 5, 6, and 8 precursor prices rose slightly due to increasing raw material costs. Precursor firms raised their prices, but difficulty in passing on these increases kept transaction prices stable. Suppliers, affected by high nickel sulphate prices, are cautious with accepting orders and are aligning production with sales. Demand is supported by optimism in the nickel sulphate market and encouraging March vehicle sales, leading to active inquiries. However, downstream buyers are resistant to costly precursors, limiting the potential for substantial price increases in ternary precursors.


Ternary cathode material

In the week ending March 14, ternary cathode material prices rebounded due to increased nickel and lithium prices. Shorter lithium contracts and lower Q1 supplies from battery cell makers have led to higher spot market prices for lithium salts, raising cost concerns. Small and medium battery cell manufacturers are gradually adapting to these market conditions. March scheduled production show a significant increase in high-nickel materials and a recovery in low-nickel material output. Demand for EV battery cells is strong at the high end, with major battery cell makers driving increased demand for ternary materials, while smaller manufacturers maintain stable demand. Lithium price increases are expected to be limited, suggesting that ternary cathode material prices will likely stay stable.


LFP

In the week ending March 14, LFP prices increased slightly, influenced by higher lithium carbonate prices and cautious downstream buyers preferring long-term contracts. LFP producers are aligning production with sales, resulting in increased supply. Demand is rising in EV and energy storage sectors, but battery cell companies are cautious with purchases at higher prices, focusing on clearing inventory and necessary stock replenishment. The near-term forecast suggests a stable and slight increase in LFP prices.


LCO

In the week ending March 14, LCO prices increased slightly due to higher cobalt salt and climbing lithium prices. Some firms raised LCO prices due to rising costs, while major companies kept prices steady. The low and mid-end digital electronics battery market is slow, with limited acceptance of higher prices. LCO production increased postholiday in March. Battery cell manufacturers expect stable Q2 market demand due to no new popular model releases in the first half of the year. They are producing to match sales and purchasing LCO as needed, with future expectations indicating LCO prices may remain stable despite higher lithium prices.

Please do not hesitate to contact Jean at jeantang@smm.cn or 86-19946295759 if you have any question or inquiry.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
22 hours ago
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
Read More
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
In January, national passenger car producers' new energy wholesale estimates reached 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
According to the latest data from the Passenger Car Association, in December 2025, producers with new energy wholesale sales exceeding 10,000 units accounted for 93% of the total wholesale sales of passenger NEVs that month. Based on preliminary January data, these producers achieved sales of 830,000 units in January. As most producers have already locked in their major sales figures, by applying the structural proportion from the previous month to the current month's data, the estimated wholesale sales of passenger NEVs nationwide in January were 900,000 units. According to comprehensive preliminary monthly association data: the estimated wholesale sales of NEVs by national passenger car producers in January 2026 were 900,000 units, up 1% YoY.
22 hours ago
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
22 hours ago
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
Read More
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
CAAM: In 2025, 476,000 complete vehicles were imported, down 32.4% YoY.
据中国汽车工业协会整理的海关总署数据显示,2025年12月,汽车整车进口3.0万辆,环比下降30.4%,同比下降56.1%;进口金额14.7亿美元,环比下降23.6%,同比下降52.5%。2025年,汽车整车进口47.6万辆,同比下降32.4%;进口金额236.4亿美元,同比下降39.7%。
22 hours ago
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
22 hours ago
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
Read More
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
Canada Announces New EV Strategy, to Collaborate with China
According to CCTV News, on February 5, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced a new electric vehicle strategy, including the reinstatement of car purchase subsidies, and stated that Canada will cooperate with China to promote the local production and export of EVs in Canada. According to a statement released by the Prime Minister's Office of Canada, the country will make full use of existing and newly established trade agreements, including a recently reached EV cooperation agreement with China, to facilitate large-scale investment in this sector, diversify Canada’s automotive export markets, and position Canada as one of the global leaders in the electric vehicle industry.
22 hours ago
PCAM and CAM price review and forecast - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)