Zinc Prices to Plunge by 2025, Here's Why

Published: May 24, 2023 17:37
According to foreign news on May 18, analysts said that the price of refined zinc is expected to be on a downward trend before 2025 as weak demand growth cannot keep up with the surge in production.

According to foreign news on May 18, analysts said that the price of refined zinc is expected to be on a downward trend before 2025 as weak demand growth cannot keep up with the surge in production.

Zinc prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) are likely to fall to $3,050/mt this year from $3,442 in 2022, to $2,525 in 2024 and as low as $2,000 in 2025, according to the CRU.

In the next five years, global refined zinc production is expected to increase by nearly 1.3 million mt, of which 800,000 mt will come from countries other than China. China's output will increase by about 500,000 mt.

Chile is the largest zinc consumer in the world.

The data also shows that in other parts of the world, the surplus of refined zinc this year is even higher than that in China, reaching 381,000 mt. By 2024 and 2025, the surplus will drop to 150,000 mt and 50,000 mt respectively.

More popular news:

'Bond King' Jeffrey Gundlach Says Sharp Fed Rate Cuts By Year-End Will Push Up Gold Prices

Rio Tinto Warns of Risks for Paying High Premiums for Lithium Mines after Plunging Lithium Prices Triggered Acquisition Rush

Citigroup Warns European Commercial Real Estate Values Will Plummet 40%, But Sees Medium-Term Opportunity

IMF: US Debt Defaults Will Take a Heavy Toll on Global Economy, Global GDP Growth Can Plunge

Goldman Sachs Warns of Serious Risks US Dollar Will Lose Reserve Currency Status on Debt Ceiling Standoff

Goldman Sachs Sees European Gas Prices Tripling, Gives Price Forecast in H2 2023

BofA Sharply Lowers Forecast for Oil Price, Global Oil Consumption in 2023

UBS Raises China GDP Growth Forecast, Sees Earnings from China Stock Market Soaring, RMB Appreciating

Global Aluminium Inventory to Plunge Further amid Supply Headwinds, LME Aluminium Prices to React Fast

Takeaways of Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 Annual Meeting

High Lithium Ore Prices in Australia will Drive Lithium Prices Rebound, Reasons Prevent Output to Grow

Sharp Output Cuts Led to Lithium Ore Shortages, High Import Prices Drove Lithium Salt Producers to Shut Down

US Treasury Bill Rates Soar to Record High on Debt Ceiling Jitters

Russia is Accelerating Technology to Become Top Liquefied Natural Gas Supplier by Tripling Exports By 2030

No Other Country can Replace China's Manufacturing Industry Including India

Global Manufacturing PMI in April Points to Greater Downward Pressure on Global Economy

SMM Daily Comments (May 5): LME Base Metals Rose across the Board, SHFE Nickel Plunged

SMM Daily Comments (May 9): Most LME Base Metals Closed Lower, SHFE Nickel Prices Plunge, Ferrous Metals Mostly Rose

SMM Daily Comments (May 12): SHFE Base Metals and Silver Prices Crashed, Most LME Base Metals Prices Went Down, Oil Posted 3-Day Losing Streak

SMM Daily Comments (May 16): Most Base Metals Prices Closed with Losses, SHFE Nickel, Stainless Steel Plunge, Oil Gained on G7 New Measures, US Strategic Petroleum Reserve Replenishment and Supply Concerns

SMM Daily Comments (May 17): Most Metals prices Rose, Ferrous Metals Jumped with Coking Coal soaring 3.29%,Oil Went Down on Surprise Inventory Growth, Poor China Economic Data and IEA Doubt on Russia Cheating on Output Cuts

A Bull Gold Market Has Just Begun 

Fitch Ratings Raises Saudi Arabia IDR, Says World Bank Reason and High Dependence on Oil Remain a Weakness for the Country's Rating

Global Key Base Metals Face Supply Glut, Severe Oversupply for Aluminium, But There Is a Global Copper Shortage

Copper Shortage Is Irreparable Even after Biggest Mergers and Acquisitions, Here’s Why

Buffett Talks about Banking Crisis and Bank Stocks He Bought, Munger Warned Commercial Real Estate: the City Will Be Seriously Hollowed Out


























Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Tianjin Zinc: Futures Rebound, Downstream Cautious on High Prices [SMM Midday Review]
6 mins ago
Tianjin Zinc: Futures Rebound, Downstream Cautious on High Prices [SMM Midday Review]
Read More
Tianjin Zinc: Futures Rebound, Downstream Cautious on High Prices [SMM Midday Review]
Tianjin Zinc: Futures Rebound, Downstream Cautious on High Prices [SMM Midday Review]
[Tianjin Zinc: Futures Rebound, Downstream Hesitates to Purchase on High Prices] In the Tianjin market, #0 zinc ingot mainstream transactions were at 24,080-24,410 yuan/mt, Zijin traded at 24,180-24,370 yuan/mt, #1 zinc ingot traded around 24,060-24,320 yuan/mt, Zijin was quoted at a discount of 30-50 yuan/mt against the 2608 contract, Huzinc was quoted at 25,305 yuan/mt, #0 zinc ingot was quoted at a discount of 30-100 yuan/mt against the 2608 contract, and the Tianjin market was at a discount of about 35 yuan/mt against the Shanghai market.
6 mins ago
【SMM Flash】Brixton Advances Thorn Resource Expansion, Historic Deposit Contains More Than 55 Million Pounds of Zinc
1 hour ago
【SMM Flash】Brixton Advances Thorn Resource Expansion, Historic Deposit Contains More Than 55 Million Pounds of Zinc
Read More
【SMM Flash】Brixton Advances Thorn Resource Expansion, Historic Deposit Contains More Than 55 Million Pounds of Zinc
【SMM Flash】Brixton Advances Thorn Resource Expansion, Historic Deposit Contains More Than 55 Million Pounds of Zinc
Brixton Metals has reported the first assay results from its 2026 drilling program at the Thorn Project in British Columbia, Canada. Drill hole THN26-372 at the Glenfiddich Zone intersected 14.75 metres grading 1.25% copper, 1.71 g/t gold and 149 g/t silver, including a high-grade interval of 1.5 metres grading 8.33% copper, 11.3 g/t gold and 971 g/t silver. The company said current drilling is targeting strike and depth extensions of the Glenfiddich mineralized system to support an updated resource estimate. According to a 2014 mineral resource estimate, the Glenfiddich, Northside and Talisker zones host approximately 7.4 million tonnes of inferred resources grading 35.54 g/t silver, 0.51 g/t gold, 0.13% copper, 0.32% lead and 0.59% zinc, containing an estimated 55.1 million pounds of zinc and 29.3 million pounds of lead. Previous drilling at the Northside Zone in 2025 returned a high-grade interval grading 7.1% zinc and 7.6% lead, highlighting the project's polymetallic resource potential. Brixton has completed seven drill holes totaling 1,736.5 metres at Glenfiddich so far this year and plans to continue resource expansion and upgrade drilling.
1 hour ago
[SMM Flash] Chinalco Unit to Acquire 95% Stake in Namibia’s Opuwo Cobalt-Copper Project with Zinc Resources
2 hours ago
[SMM Flash] Chinalco Unit to Acquire 95% Stake in Namibia’s Opuwo Cobalt-Copper Project with Zinc Resources
Read More
[SMM Flash] Chinalco Unit to Acquire 95% Stake in Namibia’s Opuwo Cobalt-Copper Project with Zinc Resources
[SMM Flash] Chinalco Unit to Acquire 95% Stake in Namibia’s Opuwo Cobalt-Copper Project with Zinc Resources
Chinalco (Xiong’an) Mining, a subsidiary of Aluminum Corporation of China, has agreed to acquire a 95% stake in the Opuwo Cobalt-Copper Project in Namibia from Celsius Resources for US$15 million. The Opuwo Project, located in Namibia’s Kunene Region, hosts a mineral resource estimate of 225.5 million tonnes grading 0.12% cobalt, 0.43% copper and 0.54% zinc. The resource contains approximately 259,000 tonnes of cobalt, 970,000 tonnes of copper and around 1.22 million tonnes of contained zinc, including 45.3 million tonnes in the indicated category and 180.2 million tonnes in the inferred category. Under the agreement, Chinalco (Xiong’an) Mining has also committed to invest at least US$750,000 in exploration activities and US$250,000 in metallurgical test work while regulatory approvals and licence renewals are being completed.
2 hours ago
Zinc Prices to Plunge by 2025, Here's Why - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)