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Changes in the Metal Supply Chain: How Does the New Energy Industry Influence the Global Market of Cobalt, Lithium, and Nickel?

iconFeb 5, 2025 09:23
Source:SMM
Large changes are underway across the global supply chain for metals due in large part to the growth in the new energy industry. Global demand for cobalt, lithium, and nickel-three of the key metals at the heart of EVs, advanced batteries, and renewable energy technologies-is at unprecedented levels, radically changing worldwide markets in ways that have potential long-term implications for manufacturers, investors, and policymakers alike. Demand for these three metals in the active parts of rechargeable batteries and other green energy storage systems has skyrocketed as governments and companies further ramp up efforts to decarbonize their respective economies.

Large changes are underway across the global supply chain for metals due in large part to the growth in the new energy industry. Global demand for cobalt, lithium, and nickel-three of the key metals at the heart of EVs, advanced batteries, and renewable energy technologies-is at unprecedented levels, radically changing worldwide markets in ways that have potential long-term implications for manufacturers, investors, and policymakers alike. Demand for these three metals in the active parts of rechargeable batteries and other green energy storage systems has skyrocketed as governments and companies further ramp up efforts to decarbonize their respective economies.

Increasing Use of Metals in New Energy

The global momentum of electric vehicles adds to the impulse for renewable energy, making lithium, cobalt, and nickel very much in demand in the process. These are core metals for fabricating lithium-ion batteries installed in EVs and energy storage installations. According to SMM, global energy storage system battery cell shipments reached 334GWh in 2024, marking an inflection point in the sector. This would mean sustained resilient-to-strong demand for lithium hydroxide-a key raw material in EV battery manufacturing-fuelling an even more voracious appetite for the metals. It goes without saying: the electric vehicle market leads this charge. According to the International Energy Agency, in 2024, global sales leaped forward; electric car sales surged upwards over 40% compared with the previous year. This rise in sales is directly related to increasing electric mobility adoption and expanding battery manufacturing capacity by major players like Tesla, BYD, and CATL. The transition toward electric vehicles and storage devices has turned cobalt, lithium, and nickel into metals whose supply carries significant implications for the global surge toward clean energy.

Cobalt: Suddenly an Essential Commodity in the Battery Revolution

Cathode material cobalt has been in huge demand in the recent past for lithium-ion batteries. According to SMM, on January 2025, refined cobalt is quoted at $19,836.34 per metric ton, with prices falling somewhat from the previous day but still pointing to very high demand for the material. This cobalt supply chain is very sensitive because of its concentration within a few regions that are geographically close. At present, about 70% of global production comes from questionable mining conditions in the DRC, where labor practices are illegal and come with high geopolitical and environmental risks.

It goes on to further squeeze supplies, as this highly used technology for the formulation of EV batteries mainly depends on two key chemistries: Nickel-Cobalt-Manganese (NCM) and Nickel-Cobalt-Aluminum (NCA). With growing demand for electric vehicles, this is putting quite a dent in the cobalt supply chain, which has translated into higher prices and growing scrutiny over ethical sourcing. Companies manufacturing batteries and electric vehicles are looking at diversifying away from the use of the material through alternative means such as lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, which need little or no cobalt. But this transition toward other battery chemistries is very slow, and it means for the foreseeable future, cobalt remains a critical ingredient in the chain of battery supplies.

For companies that want to be ahead in the unstable market of cobalt, there are different price updates provided by SMM. These give detailed insight into the day-to-day prices of cobalt. The SMM cobalt sulphate and cobalt powder prices help identify the exact cost related to the manufacturing of batteries and electronic items.

Lithium: Bedrock of Energy Storage and EV Battery

Lithium is often thought of as the backbone of modern energy storage. Electric vehicles, solar power, and wind energy have pushed lithium demand to record highs. According to SMM, the January 2025 report had battery-grade lithium carbonate at $9,451.08 per metric ton, while lithium hydroxide came a little behind, at $8,559.35 per metric ton. With this, lithium supplies will continue to be tightly supplied due to limited extraction and processing; hence, prices could continue to be volatile.

Over the last couple of years, the lithium market has been characterized by a supply surplus resulting from rapid production in countries such as Chile, Australia, and China. While demand is growing, especially from the EV sector, there is growing concern about the future years regarding high-quality lithium availability. Companies like Tianqi Lithium have announced record levels of production, while other analysts cite this surging demand as something that might soon outstrip supply.

The important problem for the supply chain of lithium resources is that resources are concentrated in an increasingly small number of countries. Example: Australia supplies the maximum amount of lithium, and China is the biggest producer of lithium-ion batteries, apart from being an enormous importer of this element. These two facts make this business very much like a geopolitical reality because of putting political risk into the lithium market since the nations would very much want to secure their supply chains due to the paucity of resources.

Owing to these challenges, the lithium market observes a rise in efforts toward recycling and secondary supply for lithium-ion batteries. In fact, a report by the World Economic Forum states that the global recycling industry for lithium-ion batteries could reach $13 billion by 2030, thereby easing pressure on primary mining sources.

Nickel: Highly Demanded Metal in Battery Manufacturing

Nickel has drawn wide attention in its application to the production of high-energy-density batteries, especially for electric vehicles. High-performance nickel, such as nickel sulphate, is extensively used in the NCM and NCA battery chemistries of EV batteries. In January 2025, according to SMM, the Nickel prices have touched $15,220 per metric ton, reflecting the robust demand for battery-class nickel against the irregular supply from key producers like Indonesia and the Philippines.

In the last ten years, Indonesia has come to the fore to develop itself as a behemoth in the supply chain of nickel by scaling up its laterite nickel ore production-a raw material basic for NPI and refined nickel production. However, Indonesia has tried to cut back on production quotas due to environmental concerns. Nickel has also become very important in batteries, creating some competition for sources of high-grade nickel and turning the search for nickel-rich deposits into a race in many respects.

This, added to the growth of nickel sulfate and the appearance of new battery technologies, increases the role of nickel as a strategic resource. Companies are well invested in research into alternative nickel extraction technologies, including hydrometallurgical processes, which promise better yields with less environmental impact.

Market Dynamics and Global Trends

The global supply chain for cobalt, lithium, and nickel is defined by different dynamics: from crucial raw materials for the new energy sector to being very important for advanced electronics development, going further from smartphone design to aerospace technologies. According to SMM, it is fluctuations in spot prices, bottlenecks, and geopolitical risks that characterize the markets of nickel, cobalt, and lithium.

But one of the biggest risks to supplies of these metals is an alarming lack of investment in new mining projects. Take global lithium production alone: it remains woefully far off the level needed to meet forecast demand. In 2024, China faces extreme difficulties in sourcing enough lithium to feed its rapidly expanding EV market. This will only set up increasing competition among global powers for control over these key resources.

Growing unease over environmental effects from mining complete this list. As countries like Democratic Republic of Congo and Indonesia increase in production, a set of stakeholders continues to feel pressure to implement more sustainable methods of mining.

Conclusion: How to Play the Changing Cobalt, Lithium, and Nickel Landscape

The constant changes in the cobalt, lithium, and nickel markets frame the challenges and opportunities businesses face within the new energy sector. So long as the world speeds up toward sustainable energy, these metals will continue to be in demand; thus, businesses have to make sure that their supply chain is not only reliable but also complaint. While this is happening, the SMM-type platforms provide the much-needed instruments for tracking market trends, prices, and analyses that will inform the decisions of a business concerning sourcing and investment.

Meanwhile, companies have to balance geopolitical risks against environmental regulations and fluctuating prices. Real-time data and analytics arm companies with the power to manage their risk and capitalize on emerging opportunities in this ever-changing marketplace.

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New Energy Metals

For queries, please contact William Gu at williamgu@smm.cn

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