Fitch May Downgrade US AAA Rating, But Debt Default Probability Is Very Low

Published: May 26, 2023 22:11
Fitch said it would place the U.S. AAA rating on negative watch list. Fitch may downgrade the U.S.' AAA rating.

Fitch said it would place the U.S. AAA rating on negative watch list. Fitch may downgrade the U.S.' AAA rating. But the probability of debt default remains low. The total U.S. government deficit is forecast to be 6.5% of GDP in 2023 and 6.9% of GDP in 2024.

More popular news:

'Bond King' Jeffrey Gundlach Says Sharp Fed Rate Cuts By Year-End Will Push Up Gold Prices

Copper Shortage Is Irreparable Even after Biggest Mergers and Acquisitions, Here’s Why

Rio Tinto Warns of Risks for Paying High Premiums for Lithium Mines after Plunging Lithium Prices Triggered Acquisition Rush

Goldman Sachs Lowers Price Forecast for Aluminium, Copper in 2023, Sees Nickel Price Plunging

Zinc Prices to Plunge by 2025, Here's Why

World Bank: Global Commodity Prices to Plunge Precipitously This Year at Fastest Speed since Covid Outbreak

BYD Denies Rumours after Being Reported to Chinese Authorities, Two Top China Automakers Escalate War

G7 to Expand Sanctions Covering Metals on Russia, Promises Further Support for Ukraine

A Bull Gold Market Has Just Begun 

Citigroup Warns European Commercial Real Estate Values Will Plummet 40%, But Sees Medium-Term Opportunity

IMF: US Debt Defaults Will Take a Heavy Toll on Global Economy, Global GDP Growth Can Plunge

Goldman Sachs Warns of Serious Risks US Dollar Will Lose Reserve Currency Status on Debt Ceiling Standoff

BofA Sharply Lowers Forecast for Oil Price, Global Oil Consumption in 2023

UBS Raises China GDP Growth Forecast, Sees Earnings from China Stock Market Soaring, RMB Appreciating

Global Aluminium Inventory to Plunge Further amid Supply Headwinds, LME Aluminium Prices to React Fast

High Lithium Ore Prices in Australia will Drive Lithium Prices Rebound, Reasons Prevent Output to Grow

Sharp Output Cuts Led to Lithium Ore Shortages, High Import Prices Drove Lithium Salt Producers to Shut Down

US Treasury Bill Rates Soar to Record High on Debt Ceiling Jitters

USGS Rejects Copper as Critical Mineral despite Huge Shortage and Biggest Producers Push, Citing Misleading Arguments

Buffett, Munger Talk about AI, De-Dollarisation, EV, China-US Relations, Global Supply Chains at Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 Annual Meeting

SMM Daily Comments (May 24): LME Base Metals Closed with Losses, All Ferrous Metals Dropped with Iron Ore Plunging, Oil Gained Ground as Goldman Sachs Sees Stubborn Shortage from June

SMM Daily Comments (May 9): Most LME Base Metals Closed Lower, SHFE Nickel Prices Plunge, Ferrous Metals Mostly Rose

SMM Daily Comments (May 12): SHFE Base Metals and Silver Prices Crashed, Most LME Base Metals Prices Went Down, Oil Posted 3-Day Losing Streak

SMM Daily Comments (May 16): Most Base Metals Prices Closed with Losses, SHFE Nickel, Stainless Steel Plunge, Oil Gained on G7 New Measures, US Strategic Petroleum Reserve Replenishment and Supply Concerns

SMM Daily Comments (May 17): Most Metals prices Rose, Ferrous Metals Jumped with Coking Coal soaring 3.29%,Oil Went Down on Surprise Inventory Growth, Poor China Economic Data and IEA Doubt on Russia Cheating on Output Cuts

SMM Daily Comments (May 19): LME Metals Rose across the Board, All Ferrous Metals Dropped with Coking Coal Plunging

SMM Daily Comments (May 22): Metals Prices Mostly Fell, Zinc Plunged to over 2-Year Low, Coke Slumped, Fears over US Debt Ceiling and China Demand Structural Issues Weigh on Oil

Global Key Base Metals Face Supply Glut, Severe Oversupply for Aluminium, But There Is a Global Copper Shortage

Buffett Talks about Banking Crisis and Bank Stocks He Bought, Munger Warned Commercial Real Estate: the City Will Be Seriously Hollowed Out

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
WPIC: Platinum market expected to see 8 mt surplus in 2026
3 hours ago
WPIC: Platinum market expected to see 8 mt surplus in 2026
Read More
WPIC: Platinum market expected to see 8 mt surplus in 2026
WPIC: Platinum market expected to see 8 mt surplus in 2026
On September 9, the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) released its Q2 2026 platinum report and updated its full-year 2026 forecast. The report shows that the platinum market posted a quarterly surplus for the second consecutive quarter in Q2, at 8 mt. Total supply was basically flat YoY at 59 mt (+1%); total demand fell 16% YoY (-10 mt) to 52 mt. Platinum ETF outflows of 7 mt led to net investment disinvestment of 4 mt.
3 hours ago
Chengtun Mining: Subsidiary Plans to Acquire 65% Equity in Tibet Haiteng Industrial for 709 Million Yuan
4 hours ago
Chengtun Mining: Subsidiary Plans to Acquire 65% Equity in Tibet Haiteng Industrial for 709 Million Yuan
Read More
Chengtun Mining: Subsidiary Plans to Acquire 65% Equity in Tibet Haiteng Industrial for 709 Million Yuan
Chengtun Mining: Subsidiary Plans to Acquire 65% Equity in Tibet Haiteng Industrial for 709 Million Yuan
Chengtun Mining announced in an evening filing that its subsidiary Sichuan Shengfengyuan Mining Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 65% equity in Tibet Haiteng Industrial Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Tibet Haiteng Industrial") held by Liu Zongjun for 708.5 million yuan. Upon completion of the transaction, Tibet Haiteng Industrial will become a controlled subsidiary of the company and be included in the company's consolidated financial statements. According to the announcement, Tibet Haiteng Industrial holds the exploration right for the "Bagala (East) Lead-Zinc Mine Exploration in Mozhugongka County and Linzhou County, Lhasa, Tibet." The right was first established in 2003 and has undergone multiple renewals and changes. The new license was issued on August 28, 2026, with a validity period from July 28, 2026 to July 27, 2031, covering an exploration area of 42.0668 square kilometers. According to the exploration report issued by the Northwest Geological Exploration Institute of China Metallurgical Geology Bureau on September 30, 2025, in addition to lead and zinc resources, the identified silver metal content has reached the standard for a large-scale silver mine in China. The company stated: The silver metal content of the silver-lead-zinc mine to be acquired has reached the scale of a large deposit, while lead and zinc are both medium-sized deposits. The grades of silver, lead, and zinc are moderate, and the ore quality is relatively good. Upon completion of the acquisition, the company's resource ownership of silver, lead, zinc, and other metals will be effectively increased, further optimizing the company's mineral resource portfolio, expanding future development space, and enhancing core competitiveness and risk resilience. The acquisition aligns with the company's long-term development strategy, is conducive to consolidating the company's comprehensive competitive strength in the non-ferrous metals mining sector, and serves the long-term and overall interests of the company and all shareholders.
4 hours ago
Platinum futures swing wildly, spot market trading moderate [SMM daily review]
6 hours ago
Platinum futures swing wildly, spot market trading moderate [SMM daily review]
Read More
Platinum futures swing wildly, spot market trading moderate [SMM daily review]
Platinum futures swing wildly, spot market trading moderate [SMM daily review]
6 hours ago
Fitch May Downgrade US AAA Rating, But Debt Default Probability Is Very Low - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)