Continuous strike at Vale's Canadian Nickel Mine aggravates the tightening of Battery material supply

Published: Jun 30, 2021 20:35

A strike in (Vale), a Canadian nickel mine owned by Vale, the global mining leader, has triggered a nearly two-year high in North American nickel prices, and nickel inventories on the London Stock Exchange (LME) have fallen to their lowest level in more than a year, straining the supply of the battery raw material.

(Sudbury) in Sudbury, Canada is one of the major producers of nickel mines in the world. Nickel ore is a metal raw material for aviation, electronics and nuclear industry. As a result of the strike campaign launched by the United Steelworkers Local 6500 union, its production work has stalled since June 1 this year.

Colin Hamilton, an analyst at BMO Capital Markets, said that since the beginning of 2021, the nickel (battery-grade) metal business has been facing challenges, and the supply of materials for end customers may be more limited than expected.

As a key component of rechargeable batteries for new energy vehicles, battery-grade nickel helps to increase the energy density of batteries and allows manufacturers to reduce the use of cobalt. Cobalt is more expensive to extract than nickel and the supply chain is opaque.

According to foreign media forecasts, the battery-grade nickel market will be in a tight supply in the next two to three years, and the normal supply will not resume until 2024 at the earliest.

Adrian Gardner, chief analyst of the nickel market at Wood Mackenzie, said the strike was not the main reason for the rise in nickel prices, but it would be the main driver of the continued rise in nickel prices in North America.

He also pointed out that Vale is not optimistic about the solution to the strike, and the union has twice rejected the salary proposal proposed by the management this year. The labor dispute is likely to last for months before the two sides reach an agreement. Vale had a year-long strike between 2009 and 2010.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
21 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
21 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
21 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
21 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
21 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
21 hours ago