Nickel downstream sector activity better than expected in Jul    

Published: Aug 2, 2019 13:38
But activity remained in contraction, for the fourth straight month, an SMM survey showed

SHANGHAI, Aug 2 (SMM) – Manufacturing activities across nickel downstream sectors grew more than SMM’s expectations on the month in July, but remained in contraction, for the fourth straight month, showed an SMM survey on Friday August 2. 

SMM data showed that the purchasing managers' index (PMI) for downstream nickel industries climbed 5.43 from June, to stand at 49.18 in July, beating expectations of 41.97. PMI for June lost 0.86 on the month to 43.75. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

Ramped-up production of stainless steel and improved orders from the battery sector accounted for the increase in July. 

For August, the preliminary PMI for downstream nickel industries extended its increases by 0.34 from July, to stand at 49.52, SMM survey showed.

Production at stainless steel mills and high-nickel battery plants picked up in July, which buoyed the overall sub-index for production by 9.61 from June, to 48.92. 

The production sub-index for stainless steel industry rose 8.37 on the month, but remained below 50 at 48.41, as some producers scaled back output of #300 series products. Producers of high-nickel batteries moved up a gear in July, driven by new subsidy policies for electric vehicles (EVs), but the overall EV battery market failed to recover completely after a full subsidy cut

Higher-temperature weather and environmental probes kept the production sub-index for alloy sector far below the 50 mark, at 35.6 in July. 

Greater demand for batteries with high-nickel content bolstered the new orders sub-index for the battery industry, to 67.53, compared with a low of 12.63 in June and the expected 42.33. 

New orders for stainless steel weakened after prices of stainless steel followed nickel prices higher last month. Orders in the alloy sector also performed poorly as downstream demand for home appliances, containers, and special steel cooled. 

Slow purchases kept alloy producers from restocking raw materials, which held the overall sub-index for raw materials inventory limitedly changed in July, at 49.96%.

The overall sub-index for finished product inventory grew slower than expected, by 1.59 from June to 49.59 in July, as downstream demand for batteries resumed. 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
7 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
7 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
8 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
8 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
8 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
8 hours ago