Aluminum Prices to Run Out of Steam This Week, SMM Predicts

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jul 3, 2017 15:06
Aluminum prices will lose upward momentum and remain stuck in recent range this week, SMM forecasts.

SHANGHAI, Jul. 3 (SMM) – Aluminum prices will lose upward momentum and remain stuck in recent range this week, SMM forecasts. 

LME aluminum will meet strong resistance at the 60-day moving average and face risks of falling back from highs if other base metals fail to surge. SMM sees LME aluminum moving between $ 1,880-1,920/tonne. 

SMM: Worries Overdone Over Aluminum Output Curbs during Winter Heating Season

June 30 is the deadline for local governments to finish checks on illegal aluminum capacity, and the list of illegal aluminum capacity is expected to be released this week. SHFE 1708 aluminum will fluctuate between 13,750-14,050 yuan/tonne.

Chinese Aluminum Smelters to Face Rising Power Costs, SMM Expects

In domestic spot market, growing supply and weakening demand will widen spot discounts to 140-100 yuan/tonne over SHFE 1707 aluminum.

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.  
 

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
10์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
[SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์†๋ณด] ์†Œ์‹ํ†ต์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„์˜ ์ˆ˜์œ„๊ฐ€ ๋‚ฎ์•„ ์ผ๋ถ€ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์„ ์ ์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์ณค์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ๊ฐœ์„ ๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์— ์ฐจ์งˆ์ด ์ƒ๊ธธ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ•œ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ๊นŒ์ง€ ์ƒํ™ฉ์€ ์ง€์†๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ฌด๊ธฐํ•œ ๊ณ„์†๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค.
10์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
11์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
๋‰ด๋ธ๋ฆฌ์™€ ๋ชจ์Šคํฌ๋ฐ”, ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํƒ์‚ฌ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์ฒจ๋‹จ ์†Œ์žฌ๊นŒ์ง€ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
11์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
12์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
EU ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ •์ฑ…์ด ์ˆ˜์ถœ ๊ด€์„ธ์—์„œ WSR ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ๊ทœ์ œ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทœ์ œ ๊ฐ•ํ™”๋กœ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ๋‚ด ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ๋ณด์œ ๋Ÿ‰์ด ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ํก์ˆ˜ ์—ฌ๋ถ€๋Š” ์›๋ฃŒ ํ˜ธํ™˜์„ฑ, ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ, ์ˆ˜์š”์— ๋‹ฌ๋ ค ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ์ง์ ‘ ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์—ญ๋‚ด ์žฌํ™œ์šฉ ๋ฐ ์žฌ์šฉํ•ด ์ž‰๊ณณ, ์žฌํ™œ์šฉ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ, 2์ฐจ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๋กœ ๋ฌด์—ญ์ด ์ด๋™ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ์•„์‹œ์•„ ๊ตฌ๋งค์ž๋“ค์ด ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ๋ฐ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉ์‹์„ ์žฌ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.
12์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Aluminum Prices to Run Out of Steam This Week, SMM Predicts - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)