[SMM Report] Global and China's Lithium Resource Scarcity and Forecast

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 10, 2022 14:12
Boosted by the global demand for NEVs and the release of the demand in the energy storage market, the global demand for lithium resources will reach about 1.72 million mt of LCE in 2025, with a five-year compound annual growth rate of 33%.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์„œ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ๊ณต์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋™ ์‹œ์ž‘
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์„œ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ๊ณต์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋™ ์‹œ์ž‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์„œ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ๊ณต์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋™ ์‹œ์ž‘
์„œ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ๊ณต์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋™ ์‹œ์ž‘
์„œ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ๊ณต์žฅ์ด ๋‚˜์ด์ง€๋ฆฌ์•„ ๋‚˜์‚ฌ๋ผ์™€์ฃผ์—์„œ ๊ณต์‹ ๊ฐ€๋™์— ๋“ค์–ด๊ฐ”๋‹ค. ์ด ์‹œ์„ค์˜ ์„ค๊ณ„ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์€ ํ•˜๋ฃจ 6,000ํ†ค์˜ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ด‘์„์œผ๋กœ, ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์•ฝ 3๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ํƒ„์‚ฐ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ™˜์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰(LCE)์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•œ๋‹ค. ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” Diamond Energy Group์ด ์šด์˜ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, Jiuling Lithium๊ณผ Tianhua New Energy๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ๊ฐ 50%์˜ ์ง€๋ถ„์„ ๋ณด์œ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ 5์›” ํ™ฉ ๋ฐ ํ™ฉ์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž… ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ 5์›” ํ™ฉ ๋ฐ ํ™ฉ์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž… ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ 5์›” ํ™ฉ ๋ฐ ํ™ฉ์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž… ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ 5์›” ํ™ฉ ๋ฐ ํ™ฉ์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž… ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ 5์›” ์œ ํ™ฉ ๋ฐ ํ™ฉ์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž… ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‚ผ์„ฑSDI์˜ โ€œ์—ญ๋ฐœ์ƒ ๋„๋ฐ•โ€: ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ์— 2.5์กฐ์›์„ ๊ฑธ๊ณ  ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ํŒ๋„๋ฅผ ๋‹ค์‹œ ์“ฐ๋‹ค [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‚ผ์„ฑSDI์˜ โ€œ์—ญ๋ฐœ์ƒ ๋„๋ฐ•โ€: ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ์— 2.5์กฐ์›์„ ๊ฑธ๊ณ  ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ํŒ๋„๋ฅผ ๋‹ค์‹œ ์“ฐ๋‹ค [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์‚ผ์„ฑSDI์˜ โ€œ์—ญ๋ฐœ์ƒ ๋„๋ฐ•โ€: ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ์— 2.5์กฐ์›์„ ๊ฑธ๊ณ  ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ํŒ๋„๋ฅผ ๋‹ค์‹œ ์“ฐ๋‹ค [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
์‚ผ์„ฑSDI์˜ โ€œ์—ญ๋ฐœ์ƒ ๋„๋ฐ•โ€: ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ์— 2.5์กฐ์›์„ ๊ฑธ๊ณ  ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ํŒ๋„๋ฅผ ๋‹ค์‹œ ์“ฐ๋‹ค [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
[SMM ๋ถ„์„: ์‚ผ์„ฑSDI์˜ โ€˜์—ญ๋ฐœ์ƒ ๋Œ€ํ˜• ๋ฒ ํŒ…โ€™โ€”์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ์— 25์กฐ ์› ํˆฌ์ž, ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ง€ํ˜•์„ ๋‹ค์‹œ ์“ธ ์ˆ˜๋„] ์‚ผ์„ฑSDI๋Š” 7์›” 3์ผ ๊ณต์‹œ๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด 2040๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์šธ์‚ฐ ๊ณต์žฅ์— ์•ฝ 16์กฐ ์›(์•ฝ 880์–ต ์œ„์•ˆ)์„ ํˆฌ์žํ•ด ์ „๊ณ ์ฒด ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ, ESS์šฉ LFP ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ, ๋‚˜ํŠธ๋ฅจ์ด์˜จ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ์˜ ๋Œ€๊ทœ๋ชจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๊ธฐ์ง€๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์ถ•ํ•˜๊ฒ ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ํ•˜๋ฃจ ์ „(7์›” 2์ผ)์—๋Š” ์ฒœ์•ˆ ๊ณต์žฅ์— 9์กฐ ์›์„ ํˆฌ์žํ•ด ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ๊ฒ€์ฆ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ๋งˆ๋” ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋ผ์ธ๊ณผ R&D ์‹œ์„ค์„ ๊ตฌ์ถ•ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‘ ํˆฌ์ž์•ก์„ ํ•ฉ์น˜๋ฉด ์ด 25์กฐ ์›์œผ๋กœ, 14๋…„์— ๊ฑธ์ณ 2040๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์ง„ํ–‰๋œ๋‹ค
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Boosted by the global demand for NEVs and the release of the demand in - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)