Macro sentiment has somewhat diminished, putting pressure on LME zinc [SMM Zinc Morning Comment]

Published: Oct 9, 2024 09:24
Source: SMM
Overnight, LME zinc opened at $3,173/mt.

Overnight, LME zinc opened at $3,173/mt. Initially, it briefly rose to $3,190.5/mt, but then shorts increased their positions, causing LME zinc to fluctuate downward, reaching a low of $3,066.5/mt during the night session. It eventually closed down at $3,076.5/mt, a decrease of $103.5/mt, or 3.25%. Trading volume increased to 15,828 lots, and open interest rose by 1,147 lots to 261,000 lots. Overnight, LME zinc recorded a large bearish candlestick, with LME inventory decreasing by 1,700 mt to 242,400 mt, a drop of 0.7%. Macro sentiment has weakened, with expectations for further US interest rate cuts diminishing, combined with the fading of positive domestic policy sentiment, impacting LME zinc. It is expected to fluctuate today.

Overnight, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2411 contract opened at 25,360 yuan/mt. Initially, it briefly touched 25,365 yuan/mt, but then shorts increased their positions, causing SHFE zinc to fluctuate downward, reaching a low of 25,045 yuan/mt before slightly correcting upwards. It eventually closed down at 25,160 yuan/mt, a decrease of 125 yuan/mt, or 0.49%. Trading volume decreased to 75,422 lots, and open interest increased by 806 lots to 117,000 lots. Overnight, SHFE zinc recorded a bearish candlestick, with the optimism from domestic policy support somewhat fading, combined with the accumulation of zinc social inventory. Actual downstream consumption still exerted pressure on SHFE zinc's trend, causing its focus to shift downward. SHFE zinc is expected to fluctuate today.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
US Fed September Rate Hike Probability Rises, LME Zinc Consolidates [SMM Zinc Morning Meeting Summary]
2 hours ago
US Fed September Rate Hike Probability Rises, LME Zinc Consolidates [SMM Zinc Morning Meeting Summary]
Read More
US Fed September Rate Hike Probability Rises, LME Zinc Consolidates [SMM Zinc Morning Meeting Summary]
US Fed September Rate Hike Probability Rises, LME Zinc Consolidates [SMM Zinc Morning Meeting Summary]
[SMM Zinc Morning Meeting Summary: US Fed September Rate Hike Probability Rises, LME Zinc Maintains Fluctuating Trend]: Last Friday, LME zinc opened at $3,860/mt, drifted higher after the open to touch a high of $3,918/mt, then pulled back continuously from the high to hit a low of $3,847/mt during the session, subsequently rebounded to near the daily average, and finally closed up at $3,863.5/mt, up $8.5/mt...
2 hours ago
SHFE zinc bulls reduce positions, night session consolidates at lows [SMM zinc morning comment]
2 hours ago
SHFE zinc bulls reduce positions, night session consolidates at lows [SMM zinc morning comment]
Read More
SHFE zinc bulls reduce positions, night session consolidates at lows [SMM zinc morning comment]
SHFE zinc bulls reduce positions, night session consolidates at lows [SMM zinc morning comment]
[SMM Zinc Morning Comment: SHFE Zinc Bulls Reduce Positions, Night Session Consolidates at Lows] Last Friday, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2610 contract opened at 26,650 yuan/mt. After the open, SHFE zinc consolidated around the daily average, hitting a high of 26,785 yuan/mt near the opening and a low of 26,550 yuan/mt during the session, before closing down at 26,560 yuan/mt, down 245 yuan/mt or 0.91%, with trading volume decreasing to 73,922 lots.
2 hours ago
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
Sep 11, 2026 18:30
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
Read More
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
Australia Reviews Anti-Dumping Duties on Galvanized Steel from India, Malaysia, Vietnam Amid Zinc Concerns
On September 9, 2026, Australia initiated its second sunset review of anti-dumping measures on galvanized steel sheet from India, Malaysia and Vietnam, and separately launched a sunset review of countervailing measures on imports from India. The review covers July 2025-June 2026, with the final report expected by February 11, 2027. As galvanized steel is the largest end-use sector for zinc, the measures directly affect export costs and competitiveness, potentially impacting Australia’s domestic zinc demand and supply chain. Maintaining the duties would provide some protection for domestic steel and coating capacity, while termination could increase low-priced imports and affect regional zinc consumption. The final outcome remains subject to the authorities’ determination.
Sep 11, 2026 18:30