Aluminum: Social inventory of aluminum ingots increased to a new high in H2, further suppressing spot and futures prices

Published: Jul 19, 2024 17:59 (GMT+8)
Source: SMM
On July 18, 2024, the SMM survey reported a total social inventory of aluminum ingots at 797,000 mt, (the amount for sale stood at 671,000 mt), up 8,000 mt from July 11 and up 10,000 mt from July 15.

On July 18, 2024, the SMM survey reported a total social inventory of aluminum ingots at 797,000 mt, (the amount for sale stood at 671,000 mt), up 8,000 mt from July 11 and up 10,000 mt from July 15. Prior to this, domestic aluminum ingot inventory declined slowly, with a cumulative destocking of 4,000 mt. However, following the restocking mid-week, the current domestic aluminum ingot inventory has reached a new high for H2, up 243,000 mt YoY, further suppressing aluminum spot and futures prices. Regionally, the inventory performance disparity between south China, east China, and central China continued to widen mid-week, with Wuxi's inventory exceeding Foshan's by 60,000 mt. According to the SMM survey, the Wuxi mainly received shipments from Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, and Qinghai, with Xinjiang accounting for the largest share. This is due to weak aluminum processing industry in North-west China, poor local demand, and the impact of the Guangdong-Shanghai price spread, which has significantly reduced shipments to south China. Together with some sea transport shipments, a small amount of aluminum ingots from Yunnan and Guizhou also chose to be shipped to east China. SMM expects that the decline in domestic aluminum ingot inventory in July will be limited, likely fluctuating between 750,000-850,000 mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Falls 283 MT Amid Spot-Futures Spread and Pre-Holiday Demand
1 hour ago
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Falls 283 MT Amid Spot-Futures Spread and Pre-Holiday Demand
Read More
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Falls 283 MT Amid Spot-Futures Spread and Pre-Holiday Demand
China's Secondary Aluminum Ingot Inventory Falls 283 MT Amid Spot-Futures Spread and Pre-Holiday Demand
[SMM Aluminum Flash] China's secondary aluminum ingot inventory across three major consumption regions stood at 12,403 mt today, down 283 mt from the previous trading day. Driven by a widening spot-futures price spread and the release of pre-holiday stockpiling demand, inventory showed an overall destocking trend this week.
1 hour ago
Yantai Port Breaks Global Bauxite Discharge Record with Arrival of Winning Ambition Vessel
1 hour ago
Yantai Port Breaks Global Bauxite Discharge Record with Arrival of Winning Ambition Vessel
Read More
Yantai Port Breaks Global Bauxite Discharge Record with Arrival of Winning Ambition Vessel
Yantai Port Breaks Global Bauxite Discharge Record with Arrival of Winning Ambition Vessel
On September 19, the Winning Ambition, carrying 320,000 mt of Guinean bauxite, successfully berthed at Berth 502# in the West Port Area of Yantai Port, Shandong Port Group, to begin discharge operations, marking the fourth time Yantai Port has refreshed the global record for the largest single-vessel bauxite discharge volume. The Winning Ambition is the first vessel in Winning International's WINNINGMAX Sirius series, built by CSSC Qingdao Beihai Shipbuilding. The vessel is equipped with an integrated hull methanol fuel tank, has received DNV methanol-ready certification, and its EEDI is 33.9% lower than the baseline. As a green VLOC giant designed for future zero-carbon shipping, it undertakes long-haul ocean transport of Simandou iron ore and Guinean bauxite, connecting overseas resource supply sources with port logistics hubs and setting a model for building an efficient, low-carbon, and secure global mineral supply chain. This first call once again demonstrates Shandong Port Group's resolve to accelerate the development of a bulk dry cargo storage, transfer, and distribution hub, as well as its strong capability in handling ultra-large vessels. To date, Yantai Port has received a cumulative total of 82 bauxite vessels of the 300,000 mt class, marking the sustained and stable operation of the China-Africa ultra-large ore carrier bauxite transport project. This further consolidates Yantai Port's advantage as the leading port for China-Africa trade and injects strong momentum into accelerating the development of a key hub in the domestic and international dual circulation and advancing high-quality Belt and Road cooperation.
1 hour ago
China to Boost Mineral Resource Exploration and Secure Energy Supply During 15th Five-Year Plan
1 hour ago
China to Boost Mineral Resource Exploration and Secure Energy Supply During 15th Five-Year Plan
Read More
China to Boost Mineral Resource Exploration and Secure Energy Supply During 15th Five-Year Plan
China to Boost Mineral Resource Exploration and Secure Energy Supply During 15th Five-Year Plan
Zhou Xing, spokesperson and vice minister of the Ministry of Natural Resources, said at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that as a major manufacturing country, China will continue to see rigid growth in demand for important mineral resources during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. To this end, the Ministry of Natural Resources will continue to implement a new round of strategic prospecting breakthroughs, firmly secure the energy supply, and provide strong support for the development of advanced manufacturing. Specific measures include: first, implementing the national geological mapping plan to raise the coverage rate of 1:50,000 regional geological surveys on land to 51% and the coverage rate of mineral geological surveys in important metallogenic belts to 66%; second, intensifying exploration and mining efforts, organizing large-scale prospecting campaigns, focusing on scarce minerals such as oil, iron, copper, and aluminum while also giving attention to advantageous minerals such as rare earths, deploying a number of key exploration and mining projects, steadily advancing the construction of about 300 energy and resource bases, and strengthening the foundation for energy and resource security; third, enhancing scientific and technological innovation to achieve breakthroughs in growth and revitalize existing resources, and guiding mining enterprises to improve the "three rates" (mining recovery rate, ore beneficiation recovery rate, and comprehensive resource utilization rate).
1 hour ago