【SMM Analysis】Post-holiday Work Resumption Delays Cause Cobalt Sulfate Increase to Fall Short of Expectations

āđ€āļœāļĒāđāļžāļĢāđˆāđāļĨāđ‰āļ§: Apr 9, 2024 19:12
【SMM Analysis】Post-holiday work resumption delays have led to cobalt sulfate production increase falling short of expectations. In March, China's cobalt sulfate production was 4,795 metric tonnes, a month-on-month increase of 18% but a year-on-year decrease of 36%.

In March, China's production of cobalt sulfate was 4,795 metric tons, representing an 18% increase month-on-month, but a 36% decrease year-on-year. The primary reason for the increase in production this month is that most primary raw material companies resumed normal operations after the end of the Spring Festival holiday, while recycling companies have been slow to restart due to weak market demand. Meanwhile, post-holiday raw material prices remained high, putting cost pressure on salt manufacturers, which constrained part of the production increase, hence the actual increase in production was less than expected.

It is anticipated that in April, the market does not hold an optimistic outlook for future demand, and with inventory accumulating, it will be difficult for smelting plants to increase their operation rates. The estimated production is about 4,888 metric tons, marking a 2% increase month-on-month and a 19% decrease year-on-year.

āļ„āļģāļŠāļĩāđ‰āđāļˆāļ‡āđāļŦāļĨāđˆāļ‡āļ—āļĩāđˆāļĄāļēāļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨ: āļ™āļ­āļāļˆāļēāļāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāļ—āļĩāđˆāđ€āļ›āļīāļ”āđ€āļœāļĒāļ•āđˆāļ­āļŠāļēāļ˜āļēāļĢāļ“āļ°āđāļĨāđ‰āļ§ āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāļ­āļ·āđˆāļ™āđ† āļ—āļąāđ‰āļ‡āļŦāļĄāļ”āđ„āļ”āđ‰āļĢāļąāļšāļāļēāļĢāļ›āļĢāļ°āļĄāļ§āļĨāļœāļĨāđ‚āļ”āļĒ SMM āļˆāļēāļāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāļŠāļēāļ˜āļēāļĢāļ“āļ° āļāļēāļĢāļŠāļ·āđˆāļ­āļŠāļēāļĢāļāļąāļšāļ•āļĨāļēāļ” āđāļĨāļ°āļāļēāļĢāļžāļķāđˆāļ‡āļžāļēāđāļšāļšāļˆāļģāļĨāļ­āļ‡āļāļēāļ™āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāļ āļēāļĒāđƒāļ™āļ‚āļ­āļ‡ SMMāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāđ€āļŦāļĨāđˆāļēāļ™āļĩāđ‰āļĄāļĩāđ„āļ§āđ‰āđ€āļžāļ·āđˆāļ­āļ­āđ‰āļēāļ‡āļ­āļīāļ‡āđ€āļ—āđˆāļēāļ™āļąāđ‰āļ™ āđ„āļĄāđˆāļ–āļ·āļ­āđ€āļ›āđ‡āļ™āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āđ€āļŠāļ™āļ­āđāļ™āļ°āđƒāļ™āļāļēāļĢāļ•āļąāļ”āļŠāļīāļ™āđƒāļˆ

āļŦāļēāļāļĄāļĩāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļŠāļ‡āļŠāļąāļĒāļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­āļ•āđ‰āļ­āļ‡āļāļēāļĢāļ—āļĢāļēāļšāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāđ€āļžāļīāđˆāļĄāđ€āļ•āļīāļĄ āļāļĢāļļāļ“āļēāļ•āļīāļ”āļ•āđˆāļ­: lemonzhao@smm.cn
āļŦāļēāļāļ•āđ‰āļ­āļ‡āļāļēāļĢāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāđ€āļžāļīāđˆāļĄāđ€āļ•āļīāļĄāđ€āļāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ§āļāļąāļšāļ§āļīāļ˜āļĩāļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ‚āđ‰āļēāļ–āļķāļ‡āļĢāļēāļĒāļ‡āļēāļ™āļāļēāļĢāļ§āļīāļˆāļąāļĒāļ‚āļ­āļ‡āđ€āļĢāļē āđ‚āļ›āļĢāļ”āļ•āļīāļ”āļ•āđˆāļ­:service.en@smm.cn
āļ‚āđˆāļēāļ§āļ—āļĩāđˆāđ€āļāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ§āļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļ‡
SMM Daily Comment: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edges Down on July 30
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SMM Daily Comment: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edges Down on July 30
āļ­āđˆāļēāļ™āđ€āļžāļīāđˆāļĄāđ€āļ•āļīāļĄ
SMM Daily Comment: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edges Down on July 30
SMM Daily Comment: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edges Down on July 30
[SMM Daily Review: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edged Down on July 30] Today, SMM battery-grade lithium carbonate spot price edged down slightly from the previous working day. In the futures market, the lithium carbonate 2609 contract opened lower at 143,900 yuan/mt today, briefly shot up to 144,400 yuan/mt after the opening before being knocked down by bears, then consolidated lower and broke below the average price line. In the morning session, it fluctuated weakly in the range of 142,000-143,500 yuan/mt. Near the end of the morning session, bears mounted a concentrated attack, driving the price quickly down to around 140,000 yuan/mt. In the afternoon, it consolidated at lows, and in the final session, bears pressed again, causing the price to accelerate its decline and hit a new intraday low, touching 137,800 yuan/mt. It finally settled down 4.84% at 137,800 yuan/mt, with open interest decreasing by 3,001 lots. In the spot market, as it was the month-end, downstream procurement pace slowed down, with purchases mainly made on a dip-buying, as-needed basis. Upstream lithium chemical plants continued to hold spot order prices firm, and additional volumes under long-term contracts increased. Overall, market inquiries and actual transactions remained relatively stable.
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SMM Daily Review: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edged Down on July 31
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SMM Daily Review: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edged Down on July 31
āļ­āđˆāļēāļ™āđ€āļžāļīāđˆāļĄāđ€āļ•āļīāļĄ
SMM Daily Review: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edged Down on July 31
SMM Daily Review: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edged Down on July 31
[SMM Daily Review: Spot Lithium Carbonate Edges Down on July 31] Today, SMM battery-grade spot lithium carbonate prices edged down slightly from the previous working day. In futures, the lithium carbonate 2609 contract opened low at 143,900 yuan/mt today, briefly shot up to 144,400 yuan/mt before being pressured by bears, and prices consolidated lower and broke below the average price line. During the morning session, prices fluctuated weakly in the 142,000–143,500 yuan/mt range; near midday, bears intensified pressure, and prices rapidly dropped to around 140,000 yuan/mt. In the afternoon, prices consolidated at lows, and near the close, bears pressed again, causing prices to slide further and hit a fresh intraday low of 137,800 yuan/mt. The contract ultimately closed down 4.84% at 137,800 yuan/mt, with open interest decreasing by 3,001 lots. In the spot market, at month-end, the downstream procurement pace slowed, with purchasing on dips as needed dominating. Upstream lithium chemical plants continued to hold spot order prices firm, and long-term contract volume additions increased. Overall, market inquiries and actual transactions were relatively stable. In July, affected by maintenance at lithium chemical plants using both spodumene and lepidolite routes, China's lithium carbonate production saw a notable decline. Entering August, although maintenance at plants relying on spodumene and lepidolite continues, salt lake lithium extraction benefited from warmer weather, and output climbed significantly, which is expected to effectively supplement overall supply. Overall, China's total lithium carbonate production in August is expected to increase by 7% MoM.
1 āļ™āļēāļ—āļĩāļ—āļĩāđˆāđāļĨāđ‰āļ§
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【SMM Analysis】Post-holiday Work Resumption Delays Cause Cobalt Sulfate Increase to Fall Short of Expectations - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)