China's aluminium production soars in July with optimistic outlook for August

Published: Aug 15, 2023 17:00
China's domestic aluminium production for July 2023 surged to a staggering 3.568 million tonnes, registering an impressive 1.95 per cent year-on-year growth.

China's domestic aluminium production for July 2023 surged to a staggering 3.568 million tonnes, registering an impressive 1.95 per cent year-on-year growth. This monumental achievement was underscored by the sector's average daily output, which escalated by over 3,000 tonnes month-on-month to a robust 115,100 tonnes. Notably, the year-to-date figures tell a compelling story of steady expansion, with total domestic aluminium production reaching 23.676 million tonnes, marking a 2.7 per cent year-on-year cumulative increase.
July witnessed a minor ebb and flow in the molten aluminium ratio, a metric underlining industry health. Bolstered by increased downstream capacity, certain entities observed a shift from ingots to molten aluminium, propelling the ratio upwards by 0.6 percentage points to reach 72.6 per cent.
Delving into capacity dynamics, the landscape displayed a dual nature. July's production uptick was spurred by a notable upswing in operational capacity, led by the remarkable resurgence in Yunnan. The province's resumed production, amassing 1.22 million tonnes, fused with figures from June to culminate in an impressive 1.48 million tonnes.
However, certain setbacks were observed, with production halts in Shandong and maintenance work in Sichuan contributing to an overall decrease of 230,000 tonnes. China's aluminium capacity matrix painted a robust picture, boasting an installed capacity of approximately 45.19 million tonnes and an operational peak of 42.16 million tonnes, a historic high.
Turning to the crystal ball, August promises a vibrant continuation. Yunnan's aluminium giants are primed for further resurgence, with nearly 620,000 tonnes of capacity poised to resume production. The province is set to usher in 490,000 tonnes by the month's end, alongside an influx of relocated production. Coupled with capacity shifts in other regions, China's operational aluminium capacity is projected to hover around 42.7 million tonnes by August's close.
Anticipation mounts as the nation braces for a productive August. Forecasts paint a vivid picture of the sector's continued ascent, with the expected domestic aluminium production touching 3.60 million tonnes, showcasing a remarkable 3.5 per cent year-on-year increase. Keeping a vigilant eye on southwestern power dynamics and industry operations shall remain paramount as the narrative of China's aluminium prowess unfolds.

Source: https://www.alcircle.com/news/china-s-aluminium-production-soars-in-july-with-optimistic-outlook-for-august-98874

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
US Manufacturing PMI Dips to 53.8 in July, Services PMI Reaches Eight-Month High
14 hours ago
US Manufacturing PMI Dips to 53.8 in July, Services PMI Reaches Eight-Month High
Read More
US Manufacturing PMI Dips to 53.8 in July, Services PMI Reaches Eight-Month High
US Manufacturing PMI Dips to 53.8 in July, Services PMI Reaches Eight-Month High
The flash US S&P Global manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 53.8 in July, the lowest since March, while market expectations were for a rise to 54.3. In contrast, the flash services PMI came in at 53.6, an eight-month high, lifting the flash composite PMI to 53.6, also an eight-month high, with both readings significantly exceeding market expectations.
14 hours ago
Trump Discusses Iran War Exit Strategy: Military Escalation or Negotiations Amid Ongoing Talks
14 hours ago
Trump Discusses Iran War Exit Strategy: Military Escalation or Negotiations Amid Ongoing Talks
Read More
Trump Discusses Iran War Exit Strategy: Military Escalation or Negotiations Amid Ongoing Talks
Trump Discusses Iran War Exit Strategy: Military Escalation or Negotiations Amid Ongoing Talks
US President Trump, while discussing the "exit strategy" for the war with Iran at the White House, noted that the US faces two options: first, maintain current military operations or even escalate strikes to gradually dismantle Iran’s military capabilities; second, reach an agreement through negotiations. Trump mentioned that although Iran is interested in a deal, it is currently "not ready yet." He stated that the US can either keep the existing pace of operations or choose to intensify strikes more rapidly. Additionally, the US is still negotiating with Iran.
14 hours ago
Midea Air Conditioning Abandons Traditional Cold Year Opening for Retail-Focused Strategy in 2027
14 hours ago
Midea Air Conditioning Abandons Traditional Cold Year Opening for Retail-Focused Strategy in 2027
Read More
Midea Air Conditioning Abandons Traditional Cold Year Opening for Retail-Focused Strategy in 2027
Midea Air Conditioning Abandons Traditional Cold Year Opening for Retail-Focused Strategy in 2027
According to Yingketong, Midea Air Conditioning officially announced in July 2026 that it will no longer initiate the traditional Cold Year Opening for the 2027 new cooling year, instead fully committing to a new strategy of “battling for retail and competing for end-users.” This decision marks a temporary halt to the near three-decade-old model of “collecting payments in the off-season and chasing volume in the peak season” within the air conditioning industry. The “Cold Year Opening” is a unique business rhythm in the air conditioning sector. Typically, starting from H2 (from July/August to October/November), producers hold openings in batches through policy incentives to attract channel merchants to make advance payments and stockpile goods. Then, in H1 of the following year, they concentrate shipments through various large-scale sales promotions, creating a cycle of “pushing inventory in the off-season and chasing volume in the peak season.” The specific measures for Midea Air Conditioning’s cancellation of the new Cold Year Opening include: no longer holding opening meetings that involve centralized channel payments, policy lock-in, and large-scale stockpiling; abolishing the practice of “mandatory advance payments to lock in annual policies”; and shifting to terminal replenishment based on actual demand, with full-cycle normalized policies implemented.
14 hours ago