First Round of Negotiations over next Year’s TCs under Long-Term Contracts have Ended, Spot Market is Muted

Published: Nov 15, 2022 14:29
The SMM Copper Concentrate Index (monthly) stood at $87.22/mt in October, up $3.86/mt month-on-month.

SHANGHAI, Nov 15 (SMM) - The SMM Copper Concentrate Index (monthly) stood at $87.22/mt in October, up $3.86/mt month-on-month. As of November 4, the SMM Imported Copper Concentrate Index (weekly) stood at $88.16/mt. The transactions of copper concentrate in the spot market were muted in October. According to SMM, some smelters offered the TCs at $86-88/mt for clean ore. The spot TCs between mines and smelters stood at $85-88/mt, and the spot TCs between mines and smelters stood at $85-88/mt, and the TCs for clean ore between traders and smelters stood at $86-88/mt.

On the news front, MMG reached an agreement with the Coyabamb community and removed the road blockade on November 7, allowing the production of Las Bambas mine to resume. MMG is currently negotiating with Tuntuma and Huincho communities to solve the problem of remaining road blockage, which continues to hinder the shipment of copper concentrates. Earlier, the Peruvian community once again blocked the main road of Las Bambas in Chumbivilcas province and an alternative route in Paruro province, preventing the logistics of production, supplies and food. Espinar province has started an indefinite strike against Glencore’s Antapaccay mine to protest the inaction of the mine and the government of Peru, saying it violated an agreement. Sergio Huaman, chairman of the Front for the Defense of Espinar's Interests, called it a "strong" protest, and did not rule out the possibility of building a mining corridor. Sergio Huaman made it clear that there would be restrictions on vehicle traffic in Antapaccay and that other mines, such as Las Bambas, Constancia and Hudbay, which would also be incidentally affected. SMM estimates that the copper production of Antapaccay mine will fall 9.1% YoY to 155,000 mt in 2022.

Generally, since the end of October, buyers and sellers will focus on the negotiations on the long-term orders of copper concentrate for 2023. The tight supply in the spot market and the abundant inventory of smelters have weighed on the trades in the spot market. Some smelters still received offers from traders. The TCs of 10,000 mt of clean ore from South America were offered at $89/mt, while smelters’ counter offers were $99/mt, and the shipment period is in January next year. According to SMM survey, some buyers expected that next year’s benchmark TCs would probably be in the range of $85-89/mt.  Some Chinese smelters and Freeport have finished their first round of negotiations over next year’s long-term contracts, and are about to start their second round of talks around mid-November. The price coefficient of domestic spot Cu 20% copper concentrates was unchanged at 88.5-89.5% on a delivery-to-factory basis as of November 10.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
13 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
13 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
13 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
13 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
13 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
13 hours ago