Aluminum prices hit a three-week low due to concerns about slowing global economic growth

Published: Apr 7, 2022 18:01
[aluminum prices hit a three-week low affected by fears of a global economic slowdown] according to news on April 7, base metal prices mostly fell on Thursday, with aluminum falling to a three-week low. this is because epidemic restrictions in China, the largest consumer, and the prospect of a sharp rise in interest rates in the United States have heightened fears of a slowdown in global economic growth. "the decline in Shanghai Aluminum may be as simple as the global market digesting the prospect of more aggressive action by the Fed," said Thomas Westwater, an analyst at DailyFX.

On April 7, base metal prices mostly fell on Thursday, with aluminum falling to a three-week low as epidemic restrictions in China, the largest consumer, and the prospect of a sharp rise in interest rates in the United States heightened concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange's main May aluminum contract closed down 3.5% at 21815 yuan per ton, while Shanghai copper fell 0.4% to 73410 yuan per ton.

Shanghai nickel fell 3.23%; Shanghai zinc fell 0.46%; Shanghai lead also fell 0.54%; Shanghai tin fell 1.54%.

16:40 Beijing time, LME aluminum for three-month delivery fell 1.96 per cent to US $3373.5 per tonne, copper for LME delivery fell 0.64 per cent to US $10239.5 per tonne, and lead for LME delivery fell 0.27 per cent to US $2407 per tonne.

Zinc for LME delivery fell 1.57 per cent to $4207 a tonne, nickel for LME delivery fell 2.1 per cent to $32765 and tin for LME delivery fell 1.27 per cent to $43295.

"the decline in Shanghai Aluminum may be as simple as the global market digesting the prospect of more aggressive action by the Fed," said Thomas Westwater, an analyst at DailyFX.

"given that prices are already high and concerns about central bank tightening are rising, I think volatility can be expected to continue. Speculators may see this as an opportunity to settle some of the profits and reopen their positions. "

The dollar index hovered near two-year highs on Thursday as commodity currencies retreated further from recent highs after minutes of the FED/ Fed meeting showed that the Fed was prepared to act aggressively to stem inflation.

"at the same time, inventories of billets and other downstream products have increased significantly due to logistics bottlenecks caused by the COVID-19 epidemic in China," said Xinlin Chen, a senior consultant at Wood Mackenzie.

"in short, increasing aluminium supply, along with limited demand, has depressed market expectations."

China's aluminum trading inventory rose to 1.05 million tons.

Russian aluminum giant Rusal exports bauxite from its Guinean mines for the first time in nearly a month, according to an analysis of shipping data released on Wednesday.

Indonesia exported 6674.91 tons of refined tin in March, up 10.45 per cent from the same period last year, according to the Indonesian Ministry of Trade.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
15 hours ago
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Read More
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Fed Governor Milan Pushes for Over 100 Basis Points Cut, Contradicts Barkin on Caution
Federal Reserve Governor Milan pointed out that it is necessary for the US Fed to cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points this year. At the same time, he is very much looking forward to the performance of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. However, Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that monetary policy must remain cautious until inflation fully pulls back to the target level, thereby ensuring the stability of the labour market.
15 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
15 hours ago
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Read More
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
Democratic Senators Demand Delay in Fed Nomination Amid Criminal Investigation
All 11 Democratic members of the US Senate Banking Committee jointly sent a letter to the committee's chairman, Tim Scott, requesting that all nomination processes for the prospective Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, be postponed until the criminal investigation into current Fed Chairman Powell and other board members is concluded. However, Scott stated that Warsh's confirmation was a done deal.
15 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
15 hours ago
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Read More
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
Fed to Keep Large Banks' Capital Levels Unchanged, Postpones Stress Test Reforms Until 2027
The US Fed has announced that it will maintain the capital levels of large banks unchanged during the upcoming stress test cycle (corresponding to the 2026 cycle). At the same time, the US Fed is planning multidimensional reforms to this annual test, aiming to enhance its transparency. The US Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision, Bowman, revealed that adjustments to the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027. This move is intended to provide the US Fed with sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws that may be exposed in its testing models when assessing banks' financial conditions under simulated economic downturn scenarios.
15 hours ago