[2020.04.30 minutes of Internal Morning meeting of Cobalt and Lithium New Energy] the pre-festival market will wait and see if the prices of cobalt and lithium may be loosened after sporadic transactions.

Publicado: Apr 30, 2020 10:13

30 April:

Battery end Market:

Power market, the current European epidemic has improved, car companies in Europe factories have recently resumed production, such as BMW, Volkswagen, Daimler will gradually resume production in Germany. In the US, by contrast, the UAW said on Thursday that it was "too early and risky" to restart production in early May, and that US plants such as Tesla would continue to delay reopening. Overseas car companies, the global head battery factory in May battery orders are expected to continue to decline, it is difficult to return to normal in the short term. Consumer and small power market, the gradual increase of domestic electric bicycles, mainly from the sharing bike platform, such as Hello bike, Meituan bike, etc., its demand for ternary battery, lithium iron phosphate battery and lithium manganate battery has increased.

Upstream raw material prices:

Cobalt: the pre-festival market basically enters the vacation state, the transaction is sporadic. Considering Gansu collection and storage rumors, cobalt oxide plants due to raw material shortage or production reduction and other news, cobalt chloride, cobalt oxide manufacturers intend to "raise the price" this week, but downstream lithium cobalt acid manufacturers responded coldly. Downstream enterprise raw material inventory is low, after the section or increase procurement demand, the market cobalt oxide inventory is more than cobalt chloride, cobalt oxide price may be more difficult to maintain.

Lithium: pre-festival market transactions are still deserted, the terminal is in the inventory stage, material section on-demand procurement of lithium carbonate, no more willingness to stock. There is a possibility of progress and differentiation in the price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in Qinghai: manufacturers who have stable customers and sign long orders have a strong willingness to bid, and the current quotation is maintained at 3.75-38500 yuan / ton; the other part has inventory pressure, enterprises ready to ship, or use low-price strategies to enter the market. Low prices for industrial lithium carbonate after the festival could be hit. Jiangxi industrial carbon price due to a certain cost support, limited room for decline, the current offer is maintained at about 40,000 yuan / ton.

Cathode materials and precursors: the domestic power market recovers slowly and is affected by the reduction of battery production. The domestic ternary materials and ternary precursor plants have been reduced in April. Consumer and small power market in addition to electric bicycles, other products have reduced production, Sanyuan material factory expectations for May is poor, reduce the volume of procurement, leading to a reduction in the price of precursors.

Nickel: nickel sulfate downstream precursor orders and prices have fallen, the current power market demand is weak, consumer market orders are relatively good, downstream requirements for raw materials have been adjusted. At present, manufacturers using nickel intermediates as raw materials still have high prices because of their high costs, and may have plans to reduce production in May, while enterprises with waste as raw materials have relatively low costs and better orders.

News:

1. [Yaha Group plans to increase the annual output of 20, 000 tons of battery grade lithium hydroxide and 11000 tons of lithium chloride by not more than 1.5 billion yuan] on April 29, Yaha Group disclosed the plan for the non-public offering of A shares. The number of non-public offering shares shall not exceed 287 million shares (including the number of shares), and the issuing object shall not exceed 35 (including 35) specific investors, and the total amount of funds to be raised shall not exceed 1.5 billion yuan (including the amount of capital). After deducting the issuance fee, it will be used for an additional 20, 000 tons of battery-grade lithium hydroxide, 11000 tons of lithium chloride and its products and supplementary liquidity. After the implementation of the project of "adding 20, 000 tons of battery grade lithium hydroxide, 11000 tons of lithium chloride and their products", the company can supply not only the raw materials of positive electrode materials for lithium batteries, but also the raw materials of negative electrode materials, thus enriching the variety of lithium products of the company.

2. [Yongshan Lithium Industry Changsha Lithium Salt Project with an annual production capacity of 45000 tons] on April 29, the Yongshan Lithium Industry Project in Tongguan Industrial Park, Wangcheng Jingkai District, officially started, marking the addition of a new engine to the Changsha advanced energy storage material industry. Cunninghamia lanceolata shares invested 2 billion in Wangcheng Jingkai District Tongguan Industrial Park to build an annual output of 45000 tons of lithium salt project, land about 350 mu, will be ahead of the global lithium salt industry knowledge-intensive high-tech office R & D headquarters. The first phase of the project will build 15000 tons of lithium hydroxide and 10, 000 tons of lithium carbonate per year. After the second phase reaches production, the annual output value is expected to reach 3.3 billion yuan, and the annual tax payment will reach 240 million yuan. The project will help Cunninghamia lanceolata shares become an international lithium salt supplier with high safety, high quality and low cost.

3. [long-term Lithium 7 billion put into Construction of cathode material Factory] on the morning of April 28, major projects in Hunan Province concentrated on 80 projects at the Changsha venue, with a total investment of 38.8 billion yuan, setting off an upsurge of "seizing opportunities, grasping projects, and stabilizing investment." Of the 80 projects, industrial projects accounted for more than half, reaching 43, with a total investment of 27.6 billion yuan. After the completion of the long-term lithium battery cathode material expansion project, it can have a ternary material production capacity of 80000 tons / a power battery. The construction of the project is committed to building a leading enterprise of battery cathode materials. After completion, it is expected to achieve operating income of about 12 billion yuan, a total annual profit and tax of about 600 million yuan, and provide about 1200 jobs. Bring good economic benefits to enterprises, lay a solid foundation for development, enhance market competitiveness, economic and social benefits are remarkable.

 

SMM Battery Materials Research team

Hu Yan 021-51666809

Qin Jingjing 021-51666828

Mei Wangqin 021-51666759

Huo Yuan 021-51666898

Wuyang 021-51666818

Declaración de Fuente de Datos: Excepto la información disponible públicamente, todos los demás datos son procesados por SMM basándose en información pública, comunicación de mercado y confiando en el modelo de base de datos interna de SMM. Son solo para referencia y no constituyen recomendaciones para la toma de decisiones.

Para cualquier consulta o para obtener más información, por favor contacte: lemonzhao@smm.cn
Para más información sobre cómo acceder a nuestros informes de investigación, contacte con:service.en@smm.cn
Noticias relacionadas
[Análisis de SMM] Las exportaciones de cobalto de la RDC se disparan, desplazando el poder de negociación a corto plazo hacia los compradores
hace 23 horas
[Análisis de SMM] Las exportaciones de cobalto de la RDC se disparan, desplazando el poder de negociación a corto plazo hacia los compradores
Leer más
[Análisis de SMM] Las exportaciones de cobalto de la RDC se disparan, desplazando el poder de negociación a corto plazo hacia los compradores
[Análisis de SMM] Las exportaciones de cobalto de la RDC se disparan, desplazando el poder de negociación a corto plazo hacia los compradores
Las exportaciones de cobalto de la República Democrática del Congo se están recuperando gradualmente, según el informe minero del país para el primer semestre de 2026. La liberación concentrada de material debería aliviar la escasez de materia prima de cobalto en China y desplazar el poder de negociación hacia los compradores. Con una demanda débil de sales de cobalto y márgenes de las fundiciones bajo presión, las llegadas adicionales dificultarán que los vendedores mantengan precios firmes, y serán necesarias concesiones de precios para concretar transacciones.
hace 23 horas
[Análisis de SMM] Revisión del mercado de ESS de Corea en agosto: Mayor visibilidad de la demanda a medida que se definen las políticas de red
11 Sep 2026 18:17
[Análisis de SMM] Revisión del mercado de ESS de Corea en agosto: Mayor visibilidad de la demanda a medida que se definen las políticas de red
Leer más
[Análisis de SMM] Revisión del mercado de ESS de Corea en agosto: Mayor visibilidad de la demanda a medida que se definen las políticas de red
[Análisis de SMM] Revisión del mercado de ESS de Corea en agosto: Mayor visibilidad de la demanda a medida que se definen las políticas de red
El mercado de sistemas de almacenamiento de energía (ESS) de Corea se acercó a una expansión real de las adquisiciones en agosto, a medida que el apoyo político a la integración de energías renovables y la estabilidad de la red se volvió más concreto. La atención se centró en el próximo mercado centralizado de contratos de ESS, los proyectos de redes de distribución y criterios no relacionados con el precio más estrictos, como la seguridad y la capacidad de suministro. El crecimiento real de la demanda dependerá de los volúmenes finales de las licitaciones, la ejecución de los proyectos y los envíos de baterías.
11 Sep 2026 18:17
China aspira a convertirse en una potencia automotriz mundial para 2030 con el impulso de los vehículos de nueva energía y la tecnología autónoma
11 Sep 2026 17:49
China aspira a convertirse en una potencia automotriz mundial para 2030 con el impulso de los vehículos de nueva energía y la tecnología autónoma
Leer más
China aspira a convertirse en una potencia automotriz mundial para 2030 con el impulso de los vehículos de nueva energía y la tecnología autónoma
China aspira a convertirse en una potencia automotriz mundial para 2030 con el impulso de los vehículos de nueva energía y la tecnología autónoma
[MIIT y otros ocho departamentos: China se unirá a las filas de las potencias automotrices mundiales para 2030] El Ministerio de Industria y Tecnología de la Información (MIIT) y otros ocho departamentos han emitido el XV Plan Quinquenal para el Desarrollo de la Industria de Vehículos de Nueva Energía Conectados Inteligentes. El plan propone que para 2030, las ventajas de China en toda la cadena industrial de vehículos de nueva energía conectados inteligentes se consoliden aún más, permitiendo al país unirse a las filas de las potencias automotrices mundiales. En el mercado chino, se espera que los vehículos de nueva energía de pasajeros y los vehículos de nueva energía comerciales representen el 70% y el 40% de las ventas totales de vehículos nuevos en sus respectivos segmentos, y los vehículos con funciones de conducción autónoma lograrán una aplicación a gran escala.
11 Sep 2026 17:49