SMM Tin Morning Brief on February 26, 2025: US Fed's Barkin stated on Tuesday that he would adopt a wait-and-see approach to the central bank's interest rate policy until inflation clearly returns to the Fed's 2% target level. Barkin noted that the current uncertainty, whether driven by trade and other policy changes under the Trump administration or other factors, requires the central bank to remain cautious when concluding the fight against inflation. He believed that under such uncertainty, it is difficult to make significant monetary policy adjustments. Therefore, he preferred to wait and see how this uncertainty unfolds and how the economy responds. Barkin also mentioned that interest rates should remain moderately restrictive until officials are more confident that inflation is returning to the 2% target. However, recent spot market transactions have remained sluggish, with most traders reporting sales of less than 10 mt, while a few traders managed to sell around one truckload. Traders generally reported low purchase willingness from downstream clients, with most adopting a wait-and-see attitude. Some downstream enterprises indicated that post-holiday orders were relatively weak, coupled with pre-holiday inventory preparations, leading to overall low purchase demand. If SHFE tin prices continue to hover at high levels, the spot market is expected to remain in a sluggish state.
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