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[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Review] Driven by the rebound in futures, the secondary aluminum alloy market saw quoted prices edge up today, with mainstream increases of 100 yuan/mt. Some enterprises raised prices accordingly to recover earlier losses, and market sentiment improved slightly from the previous period. However, transactions remained weak, with downstream buyers mainly purchasing as needed and showing limited acceptance of high prices, constraining upside room for prices. In the short term, ADC12 prices were expected to fluctuate rangebound, and further gains would still require substantive improvement on the demand side.

[SMM Midday Tin Commentary: Improving Macro Sentiment Drove a Rebound in Tin Prices, While Follow-Through in Spot Transactions Remained Limited]

[SMM Tin Brief Commentary: SHFE Tin Stopped Falling and Rebounded, Closing Up 2.94% as Macro Pressure and Bottom Support Vied Against Each Other]

[SMM Daily Review of Aluminum Alloy] Futures: The aluminum alloy 2604 contract opened at 22,750 yuan/mt today. After a brief dip in early trading, it then fluctuated upward. It attempted to move higher multiple times during the session but failed to break the intraday high, gradually weakened in the afternoon, and accelerated its pullback late in the session. It finally closed at 22,585 yuan/mt, down 165 yuan/mt from the previous settlement price, a decline of 0.73%. Spot: The ADC12 market as a whole continued to hold prices steady today. Although aluminum prices showed signs of stabilizing today, market sentiment recovered only to a limited extent, and enterprises generally chose to delay price adjustments and remain on the sidelines. Demand side, downstream order improvement was not obvi

[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: SHFE Tin Pulled Back Under Pressure in Early Trading After Rebounding, and Spot Transactions Weakened]

Today, the average price of tax-inclusive Bare Bright Wire in Zhejiang was quoted at 93,700 yuan/mt, marking a daily increase of 700 yuan/mt. The deduction (relative to SMM ChangJiang copper prices) remained stable within the range of 300-400 yuan/mt. Due to recent high-level price pullbacks and sharp market volatility, a strong "wait-and-see" sentiment has emerged, leading to sluggish spot trading performance. Industry experts believe the market is currently in a stalemate. However, trading volumes are expected to bottom out and rebound once prices stabilize or regain their upward momentum.

European smelters are purchasing less material and turning to export markets to manage inventories. Companies are becoming more cautious amid volatile market conditions.

[SMM Daily Review of Aluminum Alloy] The secondary aluminum alloy ADC12 market continued to weaken today, with mainstream enterprises generally cutting offers by 200–400 yuan/mt. The weaker prices were mainly dragged down by larger declines in aluminum prices and futures, with the cost center moving lower in tandem. In addition, some enterprises had shown relatively strong bullish sentiment earlier and lagged in the pace of price adjustments, leading to a catch-up decline in the market today. In terms of market sentiment, secondary aluminum enterprises turned cautious and bearish on the short-term aluminum price trend, focusing mainly on active shipments. Demand side, support remained weak, downstream procurement was maintained only for rigid demand, wait-and-see sentiment was strong, and

In light of the recent sharp decline in copper prices, SMM reports a noticeable deceleration in the global copper scrap trading trend. The rapid price correction has widened the bid-ask spread significantly, creating a sharp divergence in pricing expectations between market participants. Taking Bare Bright Copper as an example, overseas holders, seeking to hedge against the drop in absolute prices, have hiked their pricing coefficients to 99-99.5% of LME, a 1-percentage-point jump from 98-98.5% last week. Conversely, Chinese importers, constrained by domestic margin pressures, remain firm at the previous 98.5% coefficient. This "pricing mismatch" has hindered any consensus on coefficients, resulting in stagnant transaction activity across the board.

Morgan Stanley highlight that the race for AI and growing defense spending are becoming primary drivers for copper demand. Global AI data centers alone are projected to consume 740,000 tonnes of copper in 2026 (approx. 2.1% of total demand). The research warns that with mine development timelines extending to 18 years, the world could face a 10 million metric ton supply deficit by 2040, even if recycled copper scrap production more than doubles.

[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: The Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Continued Its Weak Consolidation, and Market Wait-and-See Sentiment Was Strong]

This week, ferrous metals fluctuated at highs, with raw material ore and coking products outperforming steel. Against the backdrop of the escalating conflict in the Middle East, ore and coking products held up well, supported by higher shipping costs and transmission from coal and coke as energy substitutes. In the second half of the week, supply and demand data for hot-rolled coil and rebar were released. The increase in rebar inventory slowed markedly; however, hot-rolled coil demand was lower than the same period last year, and the pace of post-holiday recovery was relatively slow, leaving steel as a whole with limited upward momentum, while futures retreated after rapid rise. In the spot market, trading in the Chinese market was average this week.....

[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Review] Futures: Today, aluminum alloy 2604 fluctuated upward after opening, hitting an intraday high of 23,160 yuan/mt before noon. Momentum from the bulls then faded, and prices pulled back step by step. In the afternoon, losses widened, with the low dipping to 22,180 yuan/mt. The decline narrowed slightly late in the session, and it finally closed at 22,810 yuan/mt, down 485 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, a drop of 2.08%. Spot: Market quotes generally moved lower today, with the SMM ADC12 price down 300 yuan/mt. Driven by the price pullback and weekend restocking demand, market trading sentiment recovered somewhat from the previous period, and downstream purchase willingness to buy the dip increased, supporting improved transactions at some enterprises.

[SMM Tin Midday Commentary: Tin Prices Narrowly Recovered After a Sharp Drop, and Spot Trading Activity Pulled Back Slightly]