Current overseas risks including debt risk, bank liquidity risk, and economic recession risk are plaguing the market. And the deterioration of any of the three risks will have a significant impact on risky assets such as copper. Domestic consumption recovery has been weak, but buying on the dip will underpin copper prices in the near term.
The most active SHFE copper contract prices are expected to move between 63,500-67,500/mt this week, and LME copper will trade between $8,150-8,650/mt. In China’s domestic spot market, sellers will sell based on the price spread between the SHFE front-month and SHFE next-month copper contracts. There may be larger inflows of imported copper. Spot premiums are expected to stand between 30-100 yuan/mt.
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