US dollar index fluctuations disrupt the market, with copper prices rising first and then falling overnight

Published: Jun 18, 2025 08:52

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On the macro side, data showed that US retail sales fell more than expected in May, but consumer spending remained supported by robust wage growth. The US dollar index weakened, but as the market digested the data, the US dollar reversed its decline, and copper prices first rose and then fell. On the fundamental side, on the first trading day of the SHFE copper 2507 contract, no warrants were released. Despite the replenishment of Russian supplies, they were difficult to be widely purchased by downstream users, leading to tight spot copper availability. It is expected that warrants not matched for delivery may be released in advance tomorrow, and suppliers may sell at lower prices in the morning session, with the risk of a downward shift in the center of the premium. In summary, given the presence of bearish factors, it is expected that there will be limited upside potential for copper prices today.

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