What future awaits the China's automotive industry in 2024?

Published: Jan 12, 2024 15:41
Source: SMM
Recently, several automotive companies have announced their sales figures for December 2023, with a surge in new energy vehicles.

Recently, several automotive companies have announced their sales figures for December 2023, with a surge in new energy vehicles.

In December 2024, BYD reported sales of new energy vehicles reaching 341,000 units, up 235,000 YoY. The total sales volume for BYD in 2023 amounted to 3.0244 million units, up 62.3% YoY. GAC Group disclosed that their December 2023 vehicle sales volume amounted to 259,100 units, up 25.79% YoY. The total sales volume for the year stood at 2.505 million units, up 2.92% YoY. Notably, the annual sales of new energy vehicles within this figure were 549,600 units, up 77.55% YoY. SAIC Motor Corporation announced a total vehicle sales figure of 5.02 million units for the year 2023. Of these, new energy vehicles accounted for an annual sale of 1.123 million units, up 4.6% YoY, securing the second position among domestic automotive companies in terms of sales volume.

Every achievement garnered by the Chinese automotive industry is the result of the diligent work of its automotive professionals.

As Lei Jun, has stated, "We pay tribute to BYD, Geely, Changan, Great Wall, GAC, SAIC, Dongfeng, and FAW. We salute Porsche, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi, Jaguar Land Rover, Lincoln, Volkswagen, Toyota, Honda, Nissan, General Motors, and Ford. We extend our respects to Huawei, NIO, XPeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Nezha, as well as to emerging players like WM Motor, Skywell, and Aiways...“

Price War

Tesla's significant price reductions on the Model 3 and Model Y have triggered a price competition within the automotive industry in 2023. Following suit, GAC Aion swiftly reacted by cutting prices to boost sales volume.

Subsequently, traditional gasoline vehicle brands also began to substantially slash their prices, bringing the industry's competition to a climax. Dongfeng Citroën was at the forefront, implementing significant time-limited discounts, which compelled other traditional gasoline car brands to enter the fray. With limited market share available, the competition became incredibly fierce.

As the price of lithium carbonate plummeted from nearly 600,000 yuan/mt to the recent 100,000 yuan/mt, the cost of batteries has significantly decreased, approaching an all-time low. This has substantially reduced the production costs of new energy vehicles and provided strong support for the price competition.

The Battle for Market Share between Pure Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles

Following BYD's dominance in the sales of plug-in models, nearly every brand has introduced plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. According to SMM data, as of November 2023, PHEVs have captured a 32% share of the sales market, with the potential for further growth. There are three reasons for this trend:

1.The electric vehicle market is experiencing rapid changes in both pricing and technology. The significant fluctuations in the price of lithium carbonate are impacting cost structures and pricing strategies, while swift technological advancements hold the potential for substantial improvements in the performance of future electric vehicles.

2.Mainstream consumers continue to harbor concerns about the safety of electric vehicles due to the lack of clear safety standards and pricing for batteries, resulting in a wait-and-see attitude among potential buyers.

3.The electric vehicle market is overly reliant on government policies, lacking sufficient internal drive.

However, from the perspective of consumer psychology, consumers' expectations for price reductions tend to lag behind the automakers' pricing strategies. Typically, consumers are willing to fulfill their purchasing needs within their budgets, which tend to be quite definitive. In other words, as raw material costs continue to fall, the mainstream consumer spending range may gradually shift into a "comfort zone" for pure electric vehicles, potentially serving as a stimulus for this segment of the market.

The Key to Breaking the Deadlock

In today's fiercely competitive landscape, new energy vehicle companies are constantly seeking their own strategies to break through.

Technological innovation is undoubtedly the battleground that must be contested. This is exemplified by the comprehensive strategic cooperation agreement signed between Seres Group and Huawei Digital Energy. The two parties will engage in extensive strategic collaboration across various fields including the development of intelligent electric components for new energy vehicles, technological development, and application of new energy vehicle platforms, construction and operation of new energy vehicle charging networks, and the internationalization of new energy vehicles. Building on this foundation, they will join forces to create competitive products aimed at delivering the ultimate user experience, construct an industrial ecosystem together, and jointly promote the high-quality development of the new energy vehicle industry.

In 2024, the Chinese automotive industry will unite and collectively navigate through challenging times.


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Beijing Launches 500-kV Power Project in Fengtai, Boosting Grid Resilience and Industrial Growth
9 hours ago
Beijing Launches 500-kV Power Project in Fengtai, Boosting Grid Resilience and Industrial Growth
Read More
Beijing Launches 500-kV Power Project in Fengtai, Boosting Grid Resilience and Industrial Growth
Beijing Launches 500-kV Power Project in Fengtai, Boosting Grid Resilience and Industrial Growth
On January 28th, the construction of the 500-kilovolt power transmission and transformation project in Fengtai, Beijing officially started. This project is the first newly-built 500-kilovolt power grid project in Beijing during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. It will significantly enhance the resilience and power receiving capacity of the southern Beijing power grid and provide reliable power support for Beijing to continuously optimize the investment structure and vigorously develop high-end, precise, and cutting-edge industries. The 500-kilovolt power transmission and transformation project in Fengtai, Beijing is a key project of Beijing's power grid during the 15th Five-Year Plan period and one of the "3 100" key projects in Beijing this year. It is constructed and managed by the State
9 hours ago
Shaanxi-Anhui UHV DC Project's 500-kV AC System at Hezhou Station Begins Operation After Trial Run
9 hours ago
Shaanxi-Anhui UHV DC Project's 500-kV AC System at Hezhou Station Begins Operation After Trial Run
Read More
Shaanxi-Anhui UHV DC Project's 500-kV AC System at Hezhou Station Begins Operation After Trial Run
Shaanxi-Anhui UHV DC Project's 500-kV AC System at Hezhou Station Begins Operation After Trial Run
On February 1st, the 500-kilovolt AC system of the Hezhou Converter Station, the receiving-end station of the ±800-kilovolt UHV DC power transmission project from northern Shaanxi to Anhui, was officially put into operation after a 24-hour trial run.
9 hours ago
750-kV Power Line Connecting Northern to Central Shaanxi Fully Operational
9 hours ago
750-kV Power Line Connecting Northern to Central Shaanxi Fully Operational
Read More
750-kV Power Line Connecting Northern to Central Shaanxi Fully Operational
750-kV Power Line Connecting Northern to Central Shaanxi Fully Operational
On February 2nd, the 750-kilovolt power transmission and transformation project of the third passageway from northern Shaanxi to central Shaanxi was fully connected. The project starts from the 750-kilovolt Shuofang Substation in Shenmu City in the north and ends at the 750-kilovolt Bailuyuan Substation in Lantian County in the south. It has newly built a 1,271-kilometer line, passing through 18 counties (districts) in 4 cities including Yulin, Yan'an, Weinan and Xi'an.
9 hours ago