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SMM Tin Market Morning Review (2013-3-27)
Mar 27,2013 10:16CST
price review forecast
LME tin prices opened at USD 23,000/mt overnight, and hovered near the level before closing USD 85/mt lower at USD 23,045/mt.

SHANGHAI, Mar. 27 (SMM) – LME tin prices opened at USD 23,000/mt overnight, and hovered near the level before closing USD 85/mt lower at USD 23,045/mt influenced by the mixed US economic data and concerns over the influence of Cyprus bailout deal. The highest price was USD 23,125/mt and lowest was USD 22,866/mt. Traded volumes fell 23 lots to 268 lots, while positions were up 189 lots to 20,263 lots. LME tin inventories fell 5 mt to 14,105 mt.

The US new homes sales were reported at 411,000 mt at an annualized rate in February, lower than 422,000 expected and the previous figure was revised downward from 437,000 to 431,000. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index was 59.7 in March, worse than expectations and January’s level. The ICSC-Goldman Sachs report showed that retail sales was down 1.7% as of the week ended March 23, compared with the 1.4% increase recorded for the previous week, reflecting that the US sales failed to boost the country’s economy recently. However, the US February durable goods orders rose 5.7%, exceeding the 3.8% increase expected, and the decline in January was revised from 4.9% to 3.8%. Thus, the US dollar index edged down to 82.8.

The euro drifted down on Monday as the President of the European Group said the bailout deal for Cyprus will be a model for dealing with future banking crisis. He reversed his comment later, noting that the case in Cyprus was an exception. Besides, Italy sold EUR 8.5 billion at the bond sales held on Tuesday, with bond yields down to the lowest level since January, but market showed mild response.

In China, the spot exchange rate of RMB against the USD broke through RMB 6.21 for the first in 19 years due mainly to the satisfactory exports this year. However, as the US dollar remained strong, the room for RMB appreciation was limited. Meanwhile, data from the Ministry of Commerce showed that China’s February FDI grew 6.32% YoY, which was the first increase in nine months. Of these, investment from the EU climbed rapidly, while that from the US and Japan was down 5.37% and 6.7%. This may be a reflection of expectations for the new leadership in China.

LME base metals fell generally overnight, and the US dollar index rose 0.04%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index closed up 111.74 points or 0.77% at 14,559.49.

On March 27, spot tin prices in China are expected to be RMB 151,000-154,000/mt.


LME tin price

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