Home / Metal News / Copper / SMM Weekly Forecast on China's Silicon Market
SMM Weekly Forecast on China's Silicon Market
Jun 11,2010 17:17CST
smm insight
Source:SMM

SHANGHAI, Jun. 11 (SMM) --

Operating Rates

Operating rates at silicon meta producers were supposed to improve significantly with the arriving of high-water period at various regions in China. However, small-sized silicon metal producers were under great cost pressure in 2H 2010 due to intensified implementation electricity price hikes by the governments. Electric arc furnaces below 6300KVA should be eliminated unless they do some technology improvement. Currently, operating rates improved significantly in Sichuan and Yunnan. However, operating rates in other regions recovered slowly as the specific electricity price adjustment in those regions was not clear, and producers in some regions all halted production as electricity prices were too high in those regions.

Demand

Low-carbon economy becomes the global trend, and polysilicon photovoltaic market continues to be flourish. In this context, demand of silicon metal from polysilicon sectors will continue to grow sustainably. However, demand of silicon metal from other industries like aluminum alloy sector, and organic silicon sector was sluggish and showed no signs to improve due to global economic slowdown.

Analysis

The Chinese government will put their focus on electricity price adjustment in June, and production at mills with backward capacity and excessive energy-consuming and pollutant emission will be negatively affected, with the intensified adjustment of electricity prices. Currently, most silicon metal producers kept their offers firm and were reluctant to move goods. SMM believes that silicon metal prices will more likely be affected by producers' sentiment than market fundamentals over the short term, and prices are expected to climb up mildly before the uncertainties from electricity price adjustment diffuse. 

Forecast

SMM believes that silicon metal prices will more likely be affected by producers' sentiment than market fundamentals over the short term, and prices are expected to climb up mildly before the uncertainties from electricity price adjustment diffuse. It is expected that mainstream traded prices at Huangpu port will be around RMB 11,800/mt for #553 silicon metal, around RMB 12,600/mt for #441 silicon metal, RMB 13,100/mt for #3303 silicon metal and around RMB 14,000/mt for #2202 silicon metal.

To contact the writer on this report: naturewang@smm.cn

 

Copyright © SMM. All Rights Reserved

None of this material may be used for any commercial or public use in any forms or means, without the prior written consent of SMM. For reproduction issue, please contact us by email: service.en@smm.cn

 

Manganese Cobalt Silicon Selenium Bismuth
minor metal price
Mn Co Si Se Bi

For queries, please contact Frank LIU at liuxiaolei@smm.cn

For more information on how to access our research reports, please email service.en@smm.cn

Related news