SMM Weekly Forecast on China's EMM Market -Shanghai Metals Market

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SMM Weekly Forecast on China's EMM Market

SMM Insight 05:32:49PM Jun 04, 2010 Source:SMM

SHANGHAI, Jun. 4 (SMM) --

Supply

Costs at EMM producers continued to climb as electricity prices were lifted up at some regions, but the powder price decline as well as electricity price cut helped ease EMM producers' cost pressure to certain extent. With regard to EMM output, more and more producers planned to halt production as EMM prices lingered at low level but costs climbed all the way, resulting in reducing supply of EMM in the future.

Demand

The number of stainless steel producers to halt production increased as #200 stainless steel situation was sluggish with high inventories, and it is expected that purchases from most stainless steel companies will be limited. Ferroalloy industry also faces pressure to cut production, as producers were heavily weighed by sever electricity prices adjustment from National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), production cut from stainless steel mills as well as elimination of outdated capacity by the Chinese Government, also resulting limited purchases for EMM. Meanwhile, traders also will reduce purchases due to sluggish market condition.

Analysis

Although the reduced supply as well as high producing cost still lent relatively strong support for EMM prices, the impact from costs on EMM prices will gradually wane as more and more stainless steel mills will halt production to conduct unit maintenance due to high inventory level at domestic large scale #200 stainless steel mills.

Forecast

The significant reduce of demand will provide room for EMM prices to fall further, and prices are expected to fall around RMB 14,000/mt.

To contact the writer on this report: jianghanmei@smm.cn

 

Copyright © SMM. All Rights Reserved

None of this material may be used for any commercial or public use in any forms or means, without the prior written consent of SMM. For reproduction issue, please contact us by email: service.en@smm.cn


 

 

SMM Weekly Forecast on China's EMM Market

SMM Insight 05:32:49PM Jun 04, 2010 Source:SMM

SHANGHAI, Jun. 4 (SMM) --

Supply

Costs at EMM producers continued to climb as electricity prices were lifted up at some regions, but the powder price decline as well as electricity price cut helped ease EMM producers' cost pressure to certain extent. With regard to EMM output, more and more producers planned to halt production as EMM prices lingered at low level but costs climbed all the way, resulting in reducing supply of EMM in the future.

Demand

The number of stainless steel producers to halt production increased as #200 stainless steel situation was sluggish with high inventories, and it is expected that purchases from most stainless steel companies will be limited. Ferroalloy industry also faces pressure to cut production, as producers were heavily weighed by sever electricity prices adjustment from National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), production cut from stainless steel mills as well as elimination of outdated capacity by the Chinese Government, also resulting limited purchases for EMM. Meanwhile, traders also will reduce purchases due to sluggish market condition.

Analysis

Although the reduced supply as well as high producing cost still lent relatively strong support for EMM prices, the impact from costs on EMM prices will gradually wane as more and more stainless steel mills will halt production to conduct unit maintenance due to high inventory level at domestic large scale #200 stainless steel mills.

Forecast

The significant reduce of demand will provide room for EMM prices to fall further, and prices are expected to fall around RMB 14,000/mt.

To contact the writer on this report: jianghanmei@smm.cn

 

Copyright © SMM. All Rights Reserved

None of this material may be used for any commercial or public use in any forms or means, without the prior written consent of SMM. For reproduction issue, please contact us by email: service.en@smm.cn