์ฝ”๋ธ์ฝ”, 2026๋…„ CIF ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋™ ์Œ๊ทน ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ USD 335/ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ธ์ƒ

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Nov 26, 2025 09:28
์‹œ์žฅ ์†Œ์‹ํ†ต์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, Codelco๋Š” 2026๋…„ ์ค‘๊ตญ CIF ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์Œ๊ทน ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์„ ๋ฏธํ„ฐํ†ค๋‹น 335๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ์ œ์‹œํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” 2025๋…„ ๋ฏธํ„ฐํ†ค๋‹น 89๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ˆ˜์ค€์—์„œ 246๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ธ์ƒ๋œ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
[SMM Analysis] High Refined Copper Spot Premiums Create Pricing Room: Why Are Some Scrap Traders Raising Their Bids?
12๋ถ„ ์ „
[SMM Analysis] High Refined Copper Spot Premiums Create Pricing Room: Why Are Some Scrap Traders Raising Their Bids?
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM Analysis] High Refined Copper Spot Premiums Create Pricing Room: Why Are Some Scrap Traders Raising Their Bids?
[SMM Analysis] High Refined Copper Spot Premiums Create Pricing Room: Why Are Some Scrap Traders Raising Their Bids?
[SMM Analysis: High Refined Copper Spot Premiums Create Pricing Room: Why Are Some Scrap Traders Raising Their Bids?] Millberry bids range from 98.5% to near par, reflecting different buyers and trade models. High copper spot premiums in China and LME backwardation allow some traders to sell inventory high and replenish against a lower 3M benchmark. However, costs and basis risks limit this strategy. Direct consumers may bid higher for supply security, quality and recycled-content needs.
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[์†๋ณด | ์น ๋ ˆ ๊ด‘์—…์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€์ˆ˜, 7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋Œ€๋น„ 7.2% ํ•˜๋ฝโ€ฆ ๊ธˆ์†๊ด‘์—… 10.7% ๊ฐ์†Œ]
21๋ถ„ ์ „
[์†๋ณด | ์น ๋ ˆ ๊ด‘์—…์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€์ˆ˜, 7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋Œ€๋น„ 7.2% ํ•˜๋ฝโ€ฆ ๊ธˆ์†๊ด‘์—… 10.7% ๊ฐ์†Œ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[์†๋ณด | ์น ๋ ˆ ๊ด‘์—…์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€์ˆ˜, 7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋Œ€๋น„ 7.2% ํ•˜๋ฝโ€ฆ ๊ธˆ์†๊ด‘์—… 10.7% ๊ฐ์†Œ]
[์†๋ณด | ์น ๋ ˆ ๊ด‘์—…์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€์ˆ˜, 7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋Œ€๋น„ 7.2% ํ•˜๋ฝโ€ฆ ๊ธˆ์†๊ด‘์—… 10.7% ๊ฐ์†Œ]
8์›” 31์ผ ์น ๋ ˆ ํ†ต๊ณ„์ฒญ(INE)์€ 7์›” ์‚ฐ์—…์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 5.1% ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์ค‘ ๊ด‘์—…์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€์ˆ˜(IPMin)๋Š” 7.2% ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ธˆ์† ๊ด‘์—…์€ 10.7% ์ค„์–ด ์ง€์ˆ˜๋ฅผ 9.301%ํฌ์ธํŠธ ๋Œ์–ด๋‚ด๋ ธ๋Š”๋ฐ, ์ด๋Š” ์ฃผ๋กœ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ๊ฐ์†Œ์— ๊ธฐ์ธํ•œ๋‹ค. USGS ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ์น ๋ ˆ๋Š” 2025๋…„ ์ „ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ฐ๋„˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์˜ ์•ฝ 16%๋ฅผ ์ฐจ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ตœ๊ทผ ์น ๋ ˆ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ-๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ฐ๋„˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์†์‹ค์€ ์„ ๊ด‘ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์— ์ง‘์ค‘๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์–ด ๋ถ€์‚ฐ๋ฌผ์ธ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ฐ๋„˜์ด ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋” ํฐ ํƒ€๊ฒฉ์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ 2026๋…„ ์ „ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ฐ๋„˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์ด ๋ฏธ์น  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค.
21๋ถ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
9์›” 2์ผ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)๋Š” ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์œ„์ฐฝ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ด€๋ฆฌ ์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„, ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ง€์ • ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์กฐ์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๊ถํ—ˆ์‹ ๋ฃจ 3501ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ ํ•ด๋‹น ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์„ ์ทจ์†Œํ•˜๊ณ , ์Šน์ธ๋œ ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋œ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๋ฏผํ•ญ๊ตฌ ์ง€์ดจ๋ฃจ 2222ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์ด ์ทจ์†Œ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ์Šน์ธ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 4๋งŒ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์กฐ์ •๋œ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‹œ์žฅ ์†Œ์‹ํ†ต์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, Codelco๋Š” 2026๋…„ ์ค‘๊ตญ CIF ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์Œ๊ทน ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์„ ๋ฏธํ„ฐํ†ค๋‹น 335๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ์ œ์‹œํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)