Export Window Closes, Alumina Prices Under Pressure [SMM Alumina Morning Comment]

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Mar 5, 2025 09:03
[SMM Morning Comment on Alumina: Export Window Closes, Alumina Prices Under Pressure] Recently, domestic spot alumina prices have stopped falling, mainly due to increased demand for alumina exports and transfer to delivery warehouse, which has boosted alumina prices. In the short term, spot alumina prices in some regions have rebounded slightly. However, overseas alumina prices have declined, and the export window has essentially closed. The transfer to delivery warehouse cannot provide sustained demand, and the market is expected to see some new alumina capacity gradually come online. From a medium and long-term perspective, spot alumina prices remain under pressure. In the short term, spot alumina prices may enter a phase of fluctuation and adjustment. Continuous attention should be paid to the profitability of alumina exports and changes in bauxite prices.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
High Temperatures and Low Demand Drive Central China Aluminum Market Discounts Higher
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High Temperatures and Low Demand Drive Central China Aluminum Market Discounts Higher
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
High Temperatures and Low Demand Drive Central China Aluminum Market Discounts Higher
High Temperatures and Low Demand Drive Central China Aluminum Market Discounts Higher
The July off-season, compounded by high temperatures, kept operating rates at downstream processing enterprises in the central China market low, with buying sentiment remaining persistently sluggish. However, wide premiums prompted tradersโ€™ hedging sentiment to push up discounts and capture price spreads, resulting in relatively strong buying interest among them. Meanwhile, suppliersโ€™ pronounced willingness to hold prices firm and sell drove the market discounts higher. Ultimately, the actual transaction price range in the central China market centered around a discount of 130-170 yuan/mt against the SHFE aluminum August contract.
1๋ถ„ ์ „
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ง€์†, ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์ด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋‹จ์˜ ํƒ„๋ ฅ์„ฑ ๊ฐ•ํ™” [SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋ฏธํŒ… ํšŒ์˜๋ก]
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ง€์†, ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์ด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋‹จ์˜ ํƒ„๋ ฅ์„ฑ ๊ฐ•ํ™” [SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋ฏธํŒ… ํšŒ์˜๋ก]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ง€์†, ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์ด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋‹จ์˜ ํƒ„๋ ฅ์„ฑ ๊ฐ•ํ™” [SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋ฏธํŒ… ํšŒ์˜๋ก]
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ง€์†, ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์ด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋‹จ์˜ ํƒ„๋ ฅ์„ฑ ๊ฐ•ํ™” [SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋ฏธํŒ… ํšŒ์˜๋ก]
[๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ง€์†, ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์ด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์˜ ๋ฐ”๋‹ฅ ํƒ„๋ ฅ์„ฑ ๋’ท๋ฐ›์นจ] ์ข…ํ•ฉ ์ „๋ง์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ํ๋ฆ„ ์†์— ํšก๋ณดํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์ €ํ•ญ์— ๋ถ€๋”ชํž ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ๋“ฑ์žฅโ€”์ž๋™์ฐจ ๊ฒฝ๋Ÿ‰ ์†Œ์žฌ์˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๊ธฐํšŒ๋Š”? IRON ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ์†Œ์žฌ ์ „๋ฌธ๊ฐ€ ํ™ฉ์ž์น˜ ํ™•์ธ
15์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ๋“ฑ์žฅโ€”์ž๋™์ฐจ ๊ฒฝ๋Ÿ‰ ์†Œ์žฌ์˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๊ธฐํšŒ๋Š”? IRON ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ์†Œ์žฌ ์ „๋ฌธ๊ฐ€ ํ™ฉ์ž์น˜ ํ™•์ธ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ๋“ฑ์žฅโ€”์ž๋™์ฐจ ๊ฒฝ๋Ÿ‰ ์†Œ์žฌ์˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๊ธฐํšŒ๋Š”? IRON ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ์†Œ์žฌ ์ „๋ฌธ๊ฐ€ ํ™ฉ์ž์น˜ ํ™•์ธ
ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ๋“ฑ์žฅโ€”์ž๋™์ฐจ ๊ฒฝ๋Ÿ‰ ์†Œ์žฌ์˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๊ธฐํšŒ๋Š”? IRON ํœด๋จธ๋…ธ์ด๋“œ ๋กœ๋ด‡ ์†Œ์žฌ ์ „๋ฌธ๊ฐ€ ํ™ฉ์ž์น˜ ํ™•์ธ
15์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM Morning Comment on Alumina: Export Window Closes, Alumina Prices - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)