US Economic Data Misses Expectations, Trade Dispute Escalates, London Copper Fluctuates

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 5, 2025 18:23
Recently, US economic data fell short of expectations, raising doubts in the market about the US Fed's policy outlook. The US dollar fluctuated, overall showing a downward trend. The US-China trade dispute emerged, with US President Donald Trump signing an executive order on February 1 to raise a 10% tariff on goods imported from China. On the Chinese side, tariffs will be raised on certain imports originating from the US. A 15% tariff will be imposed on coal and liquefied natural gas, while a 10% tariff will be imposed on crude oil, agricultural machinery, large-displacement vehicles, and pickup trucks. Today, London copper fluctuated during trading, opening at $9,178/mt in the morning session. The intraday high briefly reached $9,204/mt, but then pulled back, with the lowest point dipping to $9,150/mt.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
47๋ถ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
9์›” 2์ผ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)๋Š” ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์œ„์ฐฝ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ด€๋ฆฌ ์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„, ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ง€์ • ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์กฐ์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๊ถํ—ˆ์‹ ๋ฃจ 3501ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ ํ•ด๋‹น ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์„ ์ทจ์†Œํ•˜๊ณ , ์Šน์ธ๋œ ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋œ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๋ฏผํ•ญ๊ตฌ ์ง€์ดจ๋ฃจ 2222ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์ด ์ทจ์†Œ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ์Šน์ธ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 4๋งŒ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์กฐ์ •๋œ๋‹ค.
47๋ถ„ ์ „
์—˜๋„๋ผ๋„, ๋งฅํ‚ฌ๋ฒ ๋‚˜ ๋ฒ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ž„๋ฐ•์— ๋งž์ถฐ ์ œ๋ถ„์†Œ 43% ์ฆ์„ค ๊ฒ€ํ† 
50๋ถ„ ์ „
์—˜๋„๋ผ๋„, ๋งฅํ‚ฌ๋ฒ ๋‚˜ ๋ฒ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ž„๋ฐ•์— ๋งž์ถฐ ์ œ๋ถ„์†Œ 43% ์ฆ์„ค ๊ฒ€ํ† 
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์—˜๋„๋ผ๋„, ๋งฅํ‚ฌ๋ฒ ๋‚˜ ๋ฒ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ž„๋ฐ•์— ๋งž์ถฐ ์ œ๋ถ„์†Œ 43% ์ฆ์„ค ๊ฒ€ํ† 
์—˜๋„๋ผ๋„, ๋งฅํ‚ฌ๋ฒ ๋‚˜ ๋ฒ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ž„๋ฐ•์— ๋งž์ถฐ ์ œ๋ถ„์†Œ 43% ์ฆ์„ค ๊ฒ€ํ† 
์—˜๋„๋ผ๋„ ๊ณจ๋“œ๋Š” ์„œ์Šค์บ์ฒ˜์›์ฃผ ๋งฅํ‚ฌ๋ฒ ๋‚˜ ๋ฒ ์ด ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์„ ํ•˜๋ฃจ 4,900ํ†ค์—์„œ ์•ฝ 7,000ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ 43% ํ™•์žฅํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ์•ˆ์„ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ์€-๋‚ฉ ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ๊ณต์ • ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. 2026๋…„ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ์ฆ์‚ฐํ•˜๋Š” ๋™์•ˆ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ด‘์„์ด 40๋งŒ ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ ํ™•๋ณด๋˜์–ด ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธฐ์กด ํƒ€๋‹น์„ฑ ๊ณ„ํš์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„ ๋™์•ˆ ์—ฐํ‰๊ท  ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์•ฝ 4,100๋งŒ ํŒŒ์šด๋“œ(18.6kt)์— ๋‹ฌํ•  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค.
50๋ถ„ ์ „
์›์•ค์›, ์‹ ๊ทœ ํ•„๋ฆฌํ•€ ๊ธˆ์† ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ๋ผ์ธ์šฉ ์›๋ฃŒ 2,000ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ ํ™•๋ณด
51๋ถ„ ์ „
์›์•ค์›, ์‹ ๊ทœ ํ•„๋ฆฌํ•€ ๊ธˆ์† ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ๋ผ์ธ์šฉ ์›๋ฃŒ 2,000ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ ํ™•๋ณด
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์›์•ค์›, ์‹ ๊ทœ ํ•„๋ฆฌํ•€ ๊ธˆ์† ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ๋ผ์ธ์šฉ ์›๋ฃŒ 2,000ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ ํ™•๋ณด
์›์•ค์›, ์‹ ๊ทœ ํ•„๋ฆฌํ•€ ๊ธˆ์† ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ๋ผ์ธ์šฉ ์›๋ฃŒ 2,000ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ ํ™•๋ณด
์›์•ค์› ๊ทธ๋ฆฐ ํ…Œํฌ๋†€๋กœ์ง€์Šค๋Š” ํ•„๋ฆฌํ•€์˜ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๊ธˆ์† ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ๋ผ์ธ์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ํ•จ์œ , ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋ฐ ์ „์ž ์Šฌ๋Ÿฌ์ง€๋ฅผ ํฌํ•จํ•œ 2,000ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์›๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ํ™•๋ณดํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์žฅ๋น„ ์„ค์น˜๊ฐ€ ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ 2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ด์ „ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์‹œ์„ค์€ ์‚ฐ์—… ๋ฐ ์ „์ž ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ์—์„œ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ, ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ, ๊ธˆ, ์€์„ ํšŒ์ˆ˜ํ•˜์—ฌ ๋ณตํ•ฉ 2์ฐจ ๊ธˆ์† ์›๋ฃŒ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ํ˜„์ง€ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์—ญ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
51๋ถ„ ์ „
Recently, US economic data fell short of expectations, raising doubts - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)