Further Declines in Store for LME Aluminum This Week, SMM Predicts

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jun 12, 2017 10:00
LME aluminum is on track for more declines this week, SMM expects.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 12 (SMM) – LME aluminum is on track for more declines this week, SMM expects.

Softening overseas demand will pressure aluminum prices. Some aluminum buyers in Japan agreed to set aluminum premiums at $119/tonne for Q3 shipments, down 7% from $128/tonne in Q2 and marking the first fall in three quarters. 

Collections of 2017-2018 Aluminum Price Forecasts by Global Major Research Firms

Besides, badly performed SHFE aluminum will not offer support to LME aluminum, either, SMM explained.

LME aluminum could drop to $1,870-1,920/tonne this week.

Chalco Cuts Aluminum Prices across Major Markets on June 12
For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์ค‘๊ตญ 15์•ผ๊ธˆ๊ฑด์„ค์˜ ๋ฒ ํŠธ๋‚จ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์ฒซ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ž‰๊ณณ์„ ์„ฑ๊ณต์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ค‘๊ตญ 15์•ผ๊ธˆ๊ฑด์„ค์˜ ๋ฒ ํŠธ๋‚จ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์ฒซ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ž‰๊ณณ์„ ์„ฑ๊ณต์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ค‘๊ตญ 15์•ผ๊ธˆ๊ฑด์„ค์˜ ๋ฒ ํŠธ๋‚จ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์ฒซ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ž‰๊ณณ์„ ์„ฑ๊ณต์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
์ค‘๊ตญ 15์•ผ๊ธˆ๊ฑด์„ค์˜ ๋ฒ ํŠธ๋‚จ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์ฒซ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ž‰๊ณณ์„ ์„ฑ๊ณต์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
7์›” 21์ผ, ์ค‘๊ตญ15์•ผ๊ธˆ๊ฑด์„ค์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ ์ œ3๊ณต์‚ฌ ๋ฒ ํŠธ๋‚จ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋ถ€์˜ ์ผ๋ฐ˜ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ž‰๊ณณ ์ฃผ์กฐ ์ž‘์—…์žฅ์ด ์ฒซ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ž‰๊ณณ์„ ์„ฑ๊ณต์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ถœํƒ•์€ ์ฃผ์กฐ ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ ์‹œํ—˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์˜ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์  ์„ฑ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ์˜๋ฏธํ•œ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํ•˜์ด๋ง ์ฒจ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ง€๊ตฌ, 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์บ‰์ฒธ ์ง€๋Šฅํ˜• UHV ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ๊ณต
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํ•˜์ด๋ง ์ฒจ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ง€๊ตฌ, 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์บ‰์ฒธ ์ง€๋Šฅํ˜• UHV ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ๊ณต
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ํ•˜์ด๋ง ์ฒจ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ง€๊ตฌ, 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์บ‰์ฒธ ์ง€๋Šฅํ˜• UHV ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ๊ณต
ํ•˜์ด๋ง ์ฒจ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ง€๊ตฌ, 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์บ‰์ฒธ ์ง€๋Šฅํ˜• UHV ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ๊ณต
7์›” 19์ผ, ์บ‰์ฒธ ์ธํ…”๋ฆฌ์ „ํŠธ ์ดˆ๊ณ ์•• ์œ ์—ฐ ์‹ ํ˜• ์ „๋ ฅ๋ง ์ง€๋Šฅํ˜• ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ์ •๋ฐ€ ๋ถ€ํ’ˆ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์˜ ๊ธฐ๊ณต์‹์ด ํ•˜์ด๋ง ์ฒจ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ˆ ๊ตฌ์—ญ์—์„œ ์—ด๋ ธ๋‹ค. ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” ์ด 5์–ต ์œ„์•ˆ์„ ํˆฌ์žํ•ด GIS ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ๋ถ€ํ’ˆ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋ผ์ธ 2๊ฐœ๋ฅผ ๊ฑด์„คํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. ์™„๊ณต ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๋™ ์‹œ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ๋งค์ถœ์ด 6์–ต ์œ„์•ˆ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋ง๋œ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์“ฐ์ดจ ์ค‘๋”์™€ ๊ด‘์•ผ ํ™€๋”ฉ์Šค, ์‹ ๊ทœ ์••์ถœ ํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค๋กœ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์“ฐ์ดจ ์ค‘๋”์™€ ๊ด‘์•ผ ํ™€๋”ฉ์Šค, ์‹ ๊ทœ ์••์ถœ ํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค๋กœ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์“ฐ์ดจ ์ค‘๋”์™€ ๊ด‘์•ผ ํ™€๋”ฉ์Šค, ์‹ ๊ทœ ์••์ถœ ํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค๋กœ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€
์“ฐ์ดจ ์ค‘๋”์™€ ๊ด‘์•ผ ํ™€๋”ฉ์Šค, ์‹ ๊ทœ ์••์ถœ ํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค๋กœ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€
์ตœ๊ทผ ์“ฐ์ดจ์„ฑ ์ฒญ๋‘ ์‹ ์ง„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ๊ตฌ์— ์œ„์น˜ํ•œ ์“ฐ์ดจ ์ค‘๋” ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์œ ํ•œํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ž‘์—…์žฅ์—์„œ 2์ฒœ๋งŒ ์œ„์•ˆ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ 4,500ํ†ค๊ธ‰ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์••์ถœ๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ์„ค์น˜ ๋ฐ ์‹œ์šด์ „์„ ๋งˆ์น˜๊ณ  7์›” 22์ผ ์ •์‹ ๊ฐ€๋™๋  ์˜ˆ์ •์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹คใ€‚ ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋™๋˜๋ฉด ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ฐ˜์ œํ’ˆ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค๊ณผ ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด 30๋งŒ ์„ธํŠธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์ด ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋  ์ „๋ง์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹คใ€‚ 7์›” 16์ผ, ๊ด‘์•ผ ํ™€๋”ฉ์Šค ๋‚œํ•˜์ด ๊ธฐ์ง€์˜ ๋Œ€ํ˜• ์••์ถœ ๋ผ์ธ 2๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ์ •์‹ ๊ฐ€๋™๋˜์–ด ์ฒซ ์‹œํ—˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ฐ˜์ œํ’ˆ์ด ์„ฑ๊ณต์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ๊ด‘์•ผ ํ™€๋”ฉ์Šค์˜ ๊ณ ๊ธ‰ ์‚ฐ์—…์šฉ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ฐ˜์ œํ’ˆ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ ํ™•์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ฉด์ ์œผ๋กœ ์‹œํ–‰๋˜์—ˆ์Œ์„ ์˜๋ฏธํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹คใ€‚
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Further Declines in Store for LME Aluminum This Week, SMM Predicts - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)