Further Declines in Store for LME Aluminum This Week, SMM Predicts

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jun 12, 2017 10:00
LME aluminum is on track for more declines this week, SMM expects.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 12 (SMM) – LME aluminum is on track for more declines this week, SMM expects.

Softening overseas demand will pressure aluminum prices. Some aluminum buyers in Japan agreed to set aluminum premiums at $119/tonne for Q3 shipments, down 7% from $128/tonne in Q2 and marking the first fall in three quarters. 

Collections of 2017-2018 Aluminum Price Forecasts by Global Major Research Firms

Besides, badly performed SHFE aluminum will not offer support to LME aluminum, either, SMM explained.

LME aluminum could drop to $1,870-1,920/tonne this week.

Chalco Cuts Aluminum Prices across Major Markets on June 12
For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์ค‘๊ตญ ๋งฅ์ฃผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰, 1~7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.6% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํฌ์žฅ ์ˆ˜์š” ์••๋ฐ•
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์ค‘๊ตญ ๋งฅ์ฃผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰, 1~7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.6% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํฌ์žฅ ์ˆ˜์š” ์••๋ฐ•
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์ค‘๊ตญ ๋งฅ์ฃผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰, 1~7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.6% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํฌ์žฅ ์ˆ˜์š” ์••๋ฐ•
์ค‘๊ตญ ๋งฅ์ฃผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰, 1~7์›” ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.6% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํฌ์žฅ ์ˆ˜์š” ์••๋ฐ•
๊ตญ๊ฐ€ํ†ต๊ณ„๊ตญ์ด 8์›” 19์ผ ๋ฐœํ‘œํ•œ ์ž๋ฃŒ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, 1~7์›” ์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์ด์ƒ ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๋งฅ์ฃผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ 2,276๋งŒ 7์ฒœ ํ‚ฌ๋กœ๋ฆฌํ„ฐ๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.6% ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ „์ฒด ์‹ค์ ์„ ๋ณด๋ฉด, 2026๋…„ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์ด์ƒ ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๋งฅ์ฃผ ์ด ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 0.2% ์ฆ๊ฐ€์— ๊ทธ์ณค์œผ๋ฉฐ, 6์›” ์›”๊ฐ„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ ๊ฐ์†Œ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๋ฉฐ ์—…๊ณ„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์— ์••๋ฐ•์„ ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ํฌ์žฅ์šฉ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์บ”๊ณผ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜ธ์ผ ์ˆ˜์š”๋„ ๋‹ค์†Œ ์œ„์ถ•๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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2026๋…„ 8์›” ์—์–ด์ปจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ธ‰๊ฐ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„๋ฐ• ์ˆ˜์š”์— ์˜ํ–ฅ
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
2026๋…„ 8์›” ์—์–ด์ปจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ธ‰๊ฐ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„๋ฐ• ์ˆ˜์š”์— ์˜ํ–ฅ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
2026๋…„ 8์›” ์—์–ด์ปจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ธ‰๊ฐ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„๋ฐ• ์ˆ˜์š”์— ์˜ํ–ฅ
2026๋…„ 8์›” ์—์–ด์ปจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ธ‰๊ฐ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„๋ฐ• ์ˆ˜์š”์— ์˜ํ–ฅ
ChinaIOL์˜ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, 2026๋…„ 8์›” ๊ฐ€์ •์šฉ ์—์–ด์ปจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ณ„ํš์€1,073๋งŒ ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 16.7% ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ฐ์†Œ ํญ์€ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ ํ™•๋Œ€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐ˜๋ฉด ๏ฟฝ์ •๊ณ ์™€ ์„ธํƒ๊ธฐ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ณ„ํš์€ ๊ฐ๊ฐ 877๋งŒ ๋Œ€์™€ 883๋งŒ ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ƒ๋Œ€์ ์œผ๋กœ ์•ˆ์ •์ ์ด์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ ๊ฐ๊ฐ 0.7%์™€ 2.3% ์†Œํญ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜ธ์ผ์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์‘์šฉ ๋ถ„์•ผ๋กœ์„œ ์—์–ด์ปจ ํ˜ธ์ผ ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ์—์–ด์ปจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ณ„ํš์˜ ์ง€์†์ ์ธ ๊ฐ์†Œ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ํฐ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜๋‹ค.
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์ค‘๊ตญ ์Šน์šฉ์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค 8์›” 8.1% ์ฆ๊ฐ€, ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ 104๋งŒ ๋Œ€ ๊ธฐ๋ก
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์ค‘๊ตญ ์Šน์šฉ์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค 8์›” 8.1% ์ฆ๊ฐ€, ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ 104๋งŒ ๋Œ€ ๊ธฐ๋ก
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ค‘๊ตญ ์Šน์šฉ์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค 8์›” 8.1% ์ฆ๊ฐ€, ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ 104๋งŒ ๋Œ€ ๊ธฐ๋ก
์ค‘๊ตญ ์Šน์šฉ์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค 8์›” 8.1% ์ฆ๊ฐ€, ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ 104๋งŒ ๋Œ€ ๊ธฐ๋ก
8์›” 21์ผ ์ค‘๊ตญ์Šน์šฉ์ฐจํ˜‘ํšŒ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœํ‘œํ•œ ์ž ์ • ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, 8์›” ์Šน์šฉ์ฐจ ์†Œ๋งค ํŒ๋งค๋Ÿ‰์€ ์•ฝ 158๋งŒ ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 8.1% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ ์†Œ๋งค ํŒ๋งค๋Ÿ‰์€ 104๋งŒ ๋Œ€์— ๋‹ฌํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๊ณ , ๋ณด๊ธ‰๋ฅ ์€ 65.1%~65.8% ์‚ฌ์ด๊ฐ€ ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋ง๋œ๋‹ค.
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