Collections of 2017-2018 Aluminum Price Forecasts by Global Major Research Firms 

Published: Jun 9, 2017 18:38
Macquarie and Harbor Intelligence expressed pessimism over aluminum prices next year, while Goldman Sachs painted a rosy picture.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 9 (SMM) –Macquarie and Harbor Intelligence expressed pessimism over aluminum prices next year, while Goldman Sachs painted a rosy picture. 

Macquarie sees LME aluminum averaging $1,913/tonne in 2017 and $1,806/tonne in 2018. 

Chalco Continues Raising Aluminum Prices in Major Markets on June 9

Harbor Intelligence forecasts an average price of $1,670/tonne in 2018, down from the $1,800/tonne it predicts for 2017, citing an increase in supply surplus. 

Goldman Sachs expects deficit in aluminum market to expand from 235,000 tonnes in 2017 to 373,000 tonnes in 2018 before turning into a surplus of 34,000 tonnes in 2019. Goldman Sachs sees aluminum prices at $1,942/tonne in 2017 and $1,950/tonne in 2018. 

Sino-Foreign Consortium SMB to Ramp Up Bauxite Exports from Guinea

The article is edited by SMM and is provided for information purpose only. SMM assumes no liability and does not warrant the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information contained or quoted in the article, either express or implied. SMM further disclaims any liability for losses in connection with the information contained or quoted in the article.

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Contract Is About to Roll Over, Spot Aluminum Shows No Signs of Improvement [SMM South China Spot Aluminum Daily Review]
14 hours ago
Contract Is About to Roll Over, Spot Aluminum Shows No Signs of Improvement [SMM South China Spot Aluminum Daily Review]
Read More
Contract Is About to Roll Over, Spot Aluminum Shows No Signs of Improvement [SMM South China Spot Aluminum Daily Review]
Contract Is About to Roll Over, Spot Aluminum Shows No Signs of Improvement [SMM South China Spot Aluminum Daily Review]
14 hours ago
[SMM Aluminum Flash News] Capral Aluminum Electrifies Furnace, Boosting Efficiency to 90% and Cutting Emissions
14 hours ago
[SMM Aluminum Flash News] Capral Aluminum Electrifies Furnace, Boosting Efficiency to 90% and Cutting Emissions
Read More
[SMM Aluminum Flash News] Capral Aluminum Electrifies Furnace, Boosting Efficiency to 90% and Cutting Emissions
[SMM Aluminum Flash News] Capral Aluminum Electrifies Furnace, Boosting Efficiency to 90% and Cutting Emissions
Capral Aluminum is replacing a 40-year-old gas furnace at its Queensland site with an electric system, including an electric convection furnace, induction heating and waste heat recovery. Efficiency is expected to rise from about 20% to over 90%, while cutting Scope 1 emissions by around 973 tones per year, about 9% of total emissions. The project, supported by AUD 3.45 million from ARENA, is targeted for commissioning in early 2027. The company said electrification will reduce emissions and fuel costs while improving operational stability and product consistency, and could serve as a reference for low-carbon upgrades in aluminum processing.
14 hours ago
SHFE Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Up 62 mt to 30,496 mt on April 15
14 hours ago
SHFE Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Up 62 mt to 30,496 mt on April 15
Read More
SHFE Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Up 62 mt to 30,496 mt on April 15
SHFE Cast Aluminum Alloy Warrants Up 62 mt to 30,496 mt on April 15
[SMM Express] SHFE data showed that on April 15, the total registered cast aluminum alloy warrants stood at 30,496 mt, an increase of 62 mt from the previous trading day. By region, Shanghai registered 1,822 mt (down 90 mt), Guangdong 11,786 mt (down 60 mt), Jiangsu 3,909 mt (down 29 mt), Zhejiang 8,170 mt (up 151 mt), Chongqing 3,603 mt (unchanged), and Sichuan 1,206 mt (unchanged) from the previous trading day.
14 hours ago