According to SMM, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, multiple lead-zinc mines in China will enter the conventional production suspension period for the holiday, lasting from one to two weeks. Additionally, some smelters in north China have started their winter break early, with shutdowns lasting two to three months. The supply of lead concentrates in China declined as expected. In the imported ore market, lead concentrate TCs for February remained at -150 to -160 US dollars per dmt. Due to the Chinese New Year holiday, combined with the completion of winter stockpiling by smelters, maintenance shutdowns, and a pause in quotations, market trading activity weakened. This week, approaching the holiday, smelters generally delayed their raw material procurement needs until after the holiday. Precious metal prices consolidated sideways, and the payable indicator for silver contained in lead concentrates showed no significant changes or negotiations. Some smelters adopted a wait-and-see stance temporarily to avoid risks from declining silver processing margins and lower operational expectations. The situation seen in 2026, where smelters "scrambled" for silver-bearing raw materials at the cost of lower TCs, has eased as the overheated precious metals market cooled down. In the short term, TCs for lead concentrates with medium to low silver content remain generally stable.
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