China's Antimony Ingot Production Expected to Decline 10% MoM in April 2025: SMM Assessment

Silicon Metal: The silicon market trended stronger after the Labour Day holiday. This round of futures strength was primarily driven by macro and capital momentum. Silicon enterprises hedged in batches on rallies, cargo rights gradually shifted to futures-spot traders, and rigid demand provided support, with spot prices passively following the upward trend. From an industrial perspective, the expected increase in silicon metal supply in June carries relatively high certainty, which suppresses the sustainability of subsequent price rises. The tug-of-war between longs and shorts in the market has intensified. Going forward, key areas to watch include shifts in capital logic, changes in macro sentiment, and the pace of production resumption on the industrial side.

According to a report by the Burma News International (BNI) on May 4, 2026, a mining site near Three Pagoda Pass (the Three Pagodas area) in Myanmar was recently hit by an airstrike. Miners have fled to the town of Three Pagodas for shelter, and mining operations have been forced to halt. Informed market sources suggest that the Three Pagodas area primarily produces lead and antimony ore. Given the current situation, resuming antimony production after a ceasefire could take a considerable amount of time. Moreover, the challenges facing mining operations are not limited to the impact of war and the upcoming rainy season — they may also include shortages of fuel and explosives.