SMM Morning Comment: Alumina Supply Tight, Prices Stable with Slight Increase Amid Losses in Aluminum Industry Profitability

Опубликовано: Dec 9, 2024 09:03
SMM Morning Comment on Alumina: Supply side, the domestic weekly operating rate of alumina remains stable and positive, with a slight increase in supply. Demand side, some aluminum smelters in south-west China have maintenance plans, but due to new capacity and full production in north-west China, as well as some stocking demand, overall alumina demand remains unchanged. Overall, the tight supply pattern of alumina persists, providing some support to alumina prices. However, due to the significant increase in alumina costs, according to SMM's daily China aluminum profit and cost model, the average profitability of the Chinese aluminum industry has turned to a loss. The high alumina prices have also somewhat suppressed downstream stocking procurement willingness. In summary, spot alumina prices are expected to remain stable with a slight increase in the short term.

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SMM Morning Comment on Alumina: Supply side, the domestic weekly opera - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)