"CITIC Construction Investment: US inflation falls more than expected, gold continues to rise"
CITIC Construction Investment research report pointed out that in the past month, the price of gold has rebounded from the bottom, breaking through $2000 at one point, mainly due to the US's pause in interest rate hikes. As of November 14, 2023, the spot price of gold is $1963.18 per ounce. In the short term, lower-than-expected inflation in the US in October has solidified the basis for the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes, boosting market expectations of interest rate cuts next year and lifting the price of gold. In the medium term, in an environment of high inflation and high interest rates in the future, as well as a large-scale fiscal deficit in the United States, the medium-term allocation value of gold needs to be emphasized. At the same time, it is expected that the US unemployment rate will enter an upward trend, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes will come to an end, and gold will enter a trend of reverse increase, with a year-end target price of $2000-2200.



