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[Zn] SMM Morning Review - 2009/10/30 Zinc Market

iconOct 30, 2009 00:00

SHANGHAI, Oct. 30 (SMM) -- LME Market 

 
Close
(USD/mt)
Premium/Discount
Volume
(lot)
Position
(lot)
Inventory
(mt)
3-mth Contract
Spot – 3 mth
September Average
1,902
-27
45,704
221,796
436,161
Oct. 29th                   
2,260
-26
70,644
245,833
427,650

SHFE Market

 
Zinc – Spot Month (RMB/mt)
RMB/USD
SHFE Close
Settlement
Weighted Ave.
Oct. 15th             
15,580
15,665
15,217
1:6.8267
Oct. 29th               
16,150
16,195
16,266
1:6.8285
 

 
Zinc – 3mth (RMB/mt)
Shanghai Spot
#0 Zinc Ingot
SHFE Close
Settlement
Weighted Ave.
Oct. 15th             
15,810
15,920
15,250
15,575
Oct. 29th               
16,465
16,505
16,710
16,100

Summary

On Thursday, Shanghai #0 zinc was traded at RMB 16,100-16,150/mt, and #1 zinc was traded at RMB 16,050-16,100/mt, SHFE zinc prices tracked the downward trend of LME zinc prices, raising downstream purchasing interest, and zinc spot market sentiment was brisk as a result, but market players remained optimistic about price outlook. Guangdong #0 zinc was traded at RMB 16,050/mt, and #1 zinc was traded at RMB 16,000/mt, and discounts for limited high-quality zinc ranged between RMB 20-50/mt. The trading sentiment improved in spot market.

As to futures market, SHFE zinc prices opened low and went lower. SHFE three-month contract zinc prices closed at RMB 16,610/mt, down 3.3%, and positions declined by 9,452 lots to 149,000 lots, and SHFE zinc prices are expected to consolidate in the RMB 16,000-17,000/mt range in the short term.

Last night, the US Department of Commerce reported that the gross domestic product (GDP) in 3Q grew by 3.5%, the highest growth rate since 3Q 2007, while previous forecast was a growth rate of 3.3%. The positive US GDP data triggered investor optimism over global economic recovery, and they increased purchases of commodities as a result, driving up metal prices. In this context, LME zinc prices increased by 2.4% to USD 2,260/mt, with both positions and trading volumes up markedly. However, zinc prices are expected to move in a narrow range in the near future after wide fluctuation during this week.

 

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