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2010 January Al Imports and Exports Data Analysis

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2010 January Zn Imports and Exports Data Analysis

SHANGHAI, Mar. 1 (SMM) -- 
Bauxite: 
According to China Customs, China's bauxite imports were 1.79 million mt during January, down 31.45% compared with December levels, but still considered normal.&nbsp; Bauxite imports were relatively low in January 2009 due to the ongoing financial crisis, and this past low level contributing to the recent YoY growth rate of 64.46%. Operating rates at alumina producers with imported bauxite as raw material remain stable, so bauxite imports will not likely experience any marked changes for the next few months.
Alumina: 
According to China Customs, China's alumina imports were 674.5 kt during January, up 93.19% MoM, and up 103.94% YoY, a record high since May 2006.&nbsp; This growth is in line with the trend of steady increases in alumina prices since late 2009 due to supply shortages, and also confirms the growing trend of long-term imported alumina contracts. However, SMM believes the recent surge in imports is temporary and that alumina imports will fall in February.
Aluminum: 
According to China Customs, China's aluminum imports were 40.1 kt during January.&nbsp; Aluminum exports, however, fell as expected, to 9.1 kt, down 66.66% MoM, but still higher than average monthly level of 3.8 kt in 2009.&nbsp; China's aluminum exports to South Korea and Japan accounted for more than 80% of total exports, and is related to the high local premium in those areas of USD 130/mt.&nbsp; In addition, a limited amount of goods are believed to be re-exported from China's bonded warehouses.
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