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SMM Morning Review - 2010/1/12 Lead Market

iconJan 12, 2010 00:00

SHANGHAI, Jan. 12 (SMM) -- LME lead prices closed flat at USD 2,540/mt yesterday, though LME lead market followed trends of other base metals, opening higher, but later weakened, with no rebounds reported. According to China Customs, China’s value of imports and exports totaled at USD 243.02 billion in December 2009, surging 32.7% YoY, and up 16.7% MoM. Of those, the exports were valued at USD 130.73 billion, the fourth top level in the history, up 17.7% YoY; the imports were valued at USD 112.29 billion, setting a new monthly record high. China's strong data supported lead prices. However, LME lead inventories have increased for 14 consecutive trading days, with existing levels reaching to the highest level of 150,100 mt in recent years, with no signs of falling, putting pressure on lead prices.

SMM believes LME lead prices will feel downward pressure due to expected profit-taking from high inventories, with prices expected in the USD 2,440-2,560/mt range.

 

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