[SMM Steel] War Insurance Suspended and Shipping Paralyzed; Export Stagnation Forces Turkish Shift to Domestic Supply

Nucor (NYSE:NUE) issued quarterly guidance pointing to stronger earnings alongside rising product costs, as firmer steel prices met higher input costs. Steel mills and steel products improved while raw materials softened, underscoring the differing pace across three arms that turn recycled scrap into steel via electric-arc furnaces nationwide. Scrap, energy and alloying costs feed cash costs directly, trimming part of the gain from firmer selling prices. Cooler inflation eased expectations of further rate hikes and the S&P 500 edged higher in early October, though trade measures on imported steel remain unsettled. The stock traded at 235.98 USD, up 2.23 USD, or 0.954%. Nucor keeps expanding and upgrading mills to lift capacity; results later this month will test pricing and costs.

India's Essar Group, via US unit Mesabi Metallics, plans to invest 15 billion USD in an Iowa integrated steel plant, targeting first output in 2030. The project was announced at the White House on 28 September by President Donald Trump together with Essar co-founder Ravi Ruia and Mesabi Metallics chairman Rewant Ruia. Phase one is designed for 7.5 million tonnes a year, rising to about 10 million tonnes at full build-out. Upstream supply comes from Mesabi Metallics' new mine at Nashwauk, Minnesota, on which Essar has spent over 2.5 billion USD; it should yield roughly 7.5 million tonnes of iron ore annually and some 350 jobs, the first new US iron ore mine in 50 years. The US Export-Import Bank announced up to 10 billion USD in financing for the mine expansion in September. The plant should create at least 1,750 permanent jobs, plus 6,000 construction jobs, with the White House estimating 95 billion USD of economic impact from phase one.

The OECD forecasts that global steel overcapacity will climb to 721 million tonnes by 2027, making excess capacity a core obstacle to decarbonisation investment across the industry. AISI welcomed US leadership in advancing and adopting the Global Forum framework on steel excess capacity. European competition authorities approved Trasteel's acquisition of Liberty Steel's Magona plant in Piombino, Italy, continuing the consolidation of European steel assets. Pakistan's Pak Steel is evaluating investment in a new steel plant in Uzbekistan. JISF urged tax reforms to support green transformation and related investment. Taiwan's Froch Enterprise saw earnings driven by semiconductor facility construction demand.