SMM Tin Morning Meeting Summary on August 11, 2025
In terms of international macroeconomics, Trump plans to impose a 100% tariff on semiconductor goods, but exempts enterprises that build factories in the US. This policy has sparked widespread market attention and uncertainty. The EU has stated that even if the US imposes new tariffs on semiconductors, the tariff ceiling for exporting chips from the EU to the US will remain at 15%. Additionally, New Zealand's unemployment rate rose to its highest level in nearly five years in Q2, which may prompt the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to restart interest rate cuts. Domestically, the overall supply and demand in the tin ore market is tight. In terms of supply, tin ore supply in major producing areas such as Yunnan is tightening, and some smelters may remain shut down for maintenance or slightly cut production in August. In terms of demand, after the installation rush in the PV industry ends, orders decline. The electronics industry has entered the off-season, and end-users have strong wait-and-see sentiment, with orders only meeting just-in-time procurement needs. Demand in other sectors such as tinplate and chemicals remains stable. Transactions in the spot market are relatively sluggish. Downstream enterprises have mostly restocked at previous low price levels and are currently only making just-in-time procurement. Overall, it is expected that tin prices will continue to fluctuate at highs this week. It is recommended that investors closely monitor changes in international policies and domestic market supply and demand conditions, and operate cautiously.
![The most-traded SHFE tin contract plummeted more than 8% in a single day, and tin prices are expected to remain in the doldrums in the short term [SMM Tin Futures Review]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/usercenter/LLUUJ20251217171751.jpeg)
![Macro Sentiment Receded, the Most-Traded SHFE Tin Contract Experienced Wide Fluctuations and Declined Today, Spot Market Slightly Recovered [SMM Tin Midday Review]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/usercenter/WPbpj20251217171753.jpg)
![The most-traded SHFE tin contract pulled back quickly after a slight rise during the night session. Demand in the consumer electronics market was suppressed as tin prices rose overall. [SMM Tin Morning Brief]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/usercenter/UUeWS20251217171751.jpg)
