Overall, macro side, the US dollar rose on Friday, supported by resilient US economic data, which suggested that the US Fed might remain patient in resuming interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, progress in tariff negotiations with some countries has made the trade situation clearer, alleviating market uncertainties. Domestically, policies related to "combating the rat race" competition have driven up industrial metal prices, with the long-term tone of "promoting consumption and stabilizing growth" remaining unchanged. Fundamentally, amid the release of supply increments and the pressure from the off-season consumption, the expectation of inventory buildup remains strong. Additionally, market sentiment towards policies such as "combating the rat race" competition and "high-quality development" has cooled recently, with futures jumping initially and then pulling back. It is expected that aluminum prices will fluctuate at highs in the short term. Attention should be paid to changes in inventory and market sentiment in the future.
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