







SMM News on June 6:
Metal Market:
As of the daytime close, domestic market base metals collectively rose. SHFE copper and SHFE tin both surged over 1%, with SHFE copper up 1.04% and SHFE tin up 1.79%. The remaining metals all rose less than 1%, while the main alumina contract fell 2.91%, recording two consecutive days of decline.
In addition, the main lithium carbonate contract rose 0.23%, the main silicon metal contract rose 2.1%, and the main polysilicon contract rose 0.35%. The main European container shipping contract fell 4.35%.
The ferrous metals series generally rose, with only stainless steel declining by 0.16%. Iron ore rose 0.86%, rebar rose 0.57%, and HRC rose 0.55%. In the coking coal and coke sector, coking coal rose 3.18%, and coke rose 0.67%.
In the overseas market, as of 15:08, overseas market base metals showed mixed performance. LME copper rose 0.09%, LME lead rose 0.58%, and LME zinc rose 0.54%. The remaining metals all dropped slightly.
In the precious metals sector, as of 15:08, COMEX gold rose 0.26%, and COMEX silver rose 1.38%. Domestically, SHFE gold fell 0.15%, and SHFE silver rose 4.49%. The SHFE silver price surged to a record high of 8,855 yuan/kg during the session, marking a new all-time high since its listing.
Market conditions as of 15:08 today
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Macro Front
Domestic Aspect:
[China's Warehousing Index for May was 50.5%, Operating in Expansion Territory for 7 Consecutive Months] The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) released China's warehousing index for May today (the 6th). The data changes indicated that warehousing business activities were active, demand maintained growth, and the warehousing industry maintained a stable and improving operational trend. China's warehousing index for May was 50.5%, pulling back 0.2 percentage points MoM, and operating in expansion territory for seven consecutive months.
[Cailian Press C50 Wind Vane Index Survey: New Social Financing in May May Increase YoY, M2 YoY Growth Rate Expected to Continue Rebounding] The latest results of Cailian Press's "C50 Wind Vane Index" showed that the median forecast of market institutions for new RMB loans in May was 600 billion yuan, a decrease of 350 billion yuan YoY. The median forecast for new social financing in May was 2.32 trillion yuan, an increase of 260 billion yuan YoY. Meanwhile, the market expects that with improved liquidity and a low base effect, the M2 YoY growth rate in May may continue to rebound. In terms of prices, the CPI in May may remain relatively stable, while the decline in PPI may continue to widen. On a YoY basis, the median forecast for CPI YoY growth rate in May by market institutions was -0.2%, and the median forecast for PPI YoY growth rate in May was -3.3%. (Cailian Press)
US dollar:
As of 15:08, the US dollar index rose 0.14% to 98.89. US economic data has repeatedly fallen short of expectations, leading to increased expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts in H2. The number of initial jobless claims in the US, seasonally adjusted, for the week ending May 31 was 247,000, significantly higher than the expected 235,000, reaching the highest level since the week ending October 5 last year. The number of continuing jobless claims in the US for the week ending May 24 was 1.904 million, slightly lower than the previous week, remaining above 1.9 million for the second consecutive week. Federal Reserve Governor Cook said on Thursday that she supports maintaining US short-term borrowing costs at the current "moderately restrictive" level as long as the threat of tariffs driving up inflation persists. Kansas City Fed President Schmid said that while the extent to which tariffs will drag on economic growth and employment remains unclear, he is more concerned about the short-term impact of tariffs on inflation.
Macro side:
[Global manufacturing PMI below 50% for three consecutive months, global economy hovering at low levels] The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing released the global manufacturing PMI for May today (6th). The global manufacturing PMI for May was 49.2%, up 0.1 percentage point MoM, remaining below 50% for three consecutive months. By region, the manufacturing PMI for the Americas in May was 48.4%, unchanged from the previous month and below 49% for three consecutive months, indicating that the manufacturing sector in the Americas continues to be in contraction territory. From the data of major countries, the manufacturing PMI for the US in May was 48.5%, down 0.2 percentage point MoM, declining MoM for four consecutive months. The data changes indicate that under the influence of US tariff hikes, the US manufacturing sector continues to weaken.
Today, data such as Germany's seasonally adjusted industrial production MoM for April, Germany's working-day adjusted industrial production YoY for April, Germany's seasonally adjusted exports MoM for April, France's trade balance for April, the final value of the eurozone's seasonally adjusted QoQ GDP growth rate for Q1, the final value of the eurozone's seasonally adjusted YoY GDP growth rate for Q1, the eurozone's retail sales MoM for April, the eurozone's retail sales YoY for April, Canada's leading indicators MoM for May, the seasonally adjusted change in US non-farm payrolls for May, the US average hourly earnings YoY for May, the change in US private non-farm payrolls for May, the US labor force participation rate for May, the seasonally adjusted change in US manufacturing employment for May, the US unemployment rate for May, the change in Canadian employment for May, and the Canadian unemployment rate for May will be released. In addition, it is noteworthy that Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler delivered a speech at the Economic Club of New York, and Patrick Harker, the 2026 FOMC voter and President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, spoke about the economic outlook.
Crude oil:
As of 15:08, oil prices in both markets fell simultaneously, with WTI crude down 0.24% and Brent crude down 0.18%. After two consecutive weeks of decline, both benchmark crude oils are expected to record weekly gains this week. According to a report by Xinhua News Agency, on the evening of June 5, Chinese President Xi Jinping had a scheduled phone call with US President Donald Trump. The two heads of state agreed that their respective teams should continue to implement the Geneva consensus and hold a new round of talks as soon as possible. This has deepened the market's optimistic expectations for economic growth and increased oil demand.
Canadian Minister of Industry Mélanie Joly stated that Prime Minister Mark Carney and US President Donald Trump are in direct communication. News related to tariff negotiations, as well as data showing the impact of trade uncertainties and US tariffs on the global economy, continue to influence oil price trends. Analysts from BMI, a research arm of Fitch, said in a report on Friday, "The US may increase sanctions on Venezuela to limit its crude oil exports, and the Israel-Palestine situation also poses an upside risk to oil prices. However, weakening oil demand and increased supply from OPEC and non-OPEC producers will deepen the downward pressure on oil prices in the coming quarters."
Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, has cut the price of its crude oil for Asian buyers in July to the lowest level in nearly two months, but the reduction was smaller than expected. This follows an agreement by eight OPEC+ oil-producing countries to increase July production by 411,000 barrels per day. Saudi Arabia has been pushing for a larger production increase as part of a broader strategy to regain market share and discipline OPEC+ members whose production exceeds their quotas. (Webstock Inc.)
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