Global production schedule for solar cells is expected to decline by 4%-5% MoM in June, while that for PV film is expected to decrease by 3.1% MoM [SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Summary]

Published: Jun 3, 2025 09:19
[SMM Silicon-based PV Morning Meeting Summary: Some wafer manufacturers continued to reduce production slightly in June, with PV film production schedule down 3.1% MoM] Solar Cell: Global production schedule is expected to be 57-58 GW in June, down 4-5% MoM. PV Film: In June, the production schedule of PV-grade EVA was down 2.70% MoM, and the production schedule of PV film was down 3.1% MoM.

 

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SMM News on June 3:

Wafer

Prices: The price of N-type 18X wafers in the market is 0.93-0.95 yuan/piece; the price of 210R wafers is 1.05-1.1 yuan/piece. Wafer prices are largely stable, maintaining a temporary equilibrium.

Production: The actual domestic wafer production in May was approximately 58GW, with some manufacturers reducing production midway. In June, a few manufacturers continued to slightly cut production.

Inventory: Wafer inventory has recently experienced minor fluctuations. Comparing the operating rates of cells and wafers, the overall supply and demand are in a tight balance, with wafer inventory at around 18GW.

Solar Cell

Prices: The price of high-efficiency PERC182 cells (with efficiency of 23.2% and above) is 0.275-0.295 yuan/W. Due to limited total demand, there are very few existing players, and export demand accounts for a relatively high proportion; there is no trading volume in the PERC210 cell market. The mainstream quotation for Topcon183 cells (with efficiency of 25% and above) is around 0.25-0.255 yuan/W; the mainstream transaction price for Topcon210RN is 0.265 yuan/W, with a quotation range of 0.265-0.27 yuan/W; the price of Topcon210N cells is around 0.26-0.27 yuan/W. There is a divergence in size trends: 183 and 210N prices continue to fall. For the former, reduced orders and continuous inventory buildup force transaction prices down, while for the latter, some companies' large shipments at month-end drive market transaction prices lower. Orders for 210RN have increased due to distributed demand, especially for high-efficiency parts, with prices stabilizing and recovering. It is expected that the trend differences between different sizes will continue to widen. The mainstream quotation for HJT 30% silver-coated copper (with efficiency of 25% and above) is 0.34-0.35 yuan/W, and price adjustments are expected after the holiday. HJT has relatively little direct sales, with integrated manufacturers being self-sufficient.

Production: Global solar cell production reached 60-61GW in May, a decrease of approximately 7.20% from April. Preliminary estimates suggest that the global production schedule for June will be 57-58GW, a 4-5% decrease MoM. The supply of cells continues to tighten due to weak demand.

Inventory: Module manufacturers have adjusted their procurement needs, resulting in reduced orders. Solar cell plants have adjusted their production schedules to control inventory, which increased by 25.01% WoW, with the growth rate shrinking by 51 percentage points compared to the previous week.

PV Film

Prices

PV-grade EVA: The transaction price of PV-grade EVA is 10,100-10,400 yuan/mt. The domestic settlement price of PV-grade POE is approximately 12,000-14,000 yuan/mt.

PV Film: Currently, the mainstream price of 420g transparent EVA film is 5.38-5.59 yuan/m², the price of 420g white EVA film is 5.88-6.09 yuan/m², the price of 380g EPE film is 5.51-5.7 yuan/m², and the price of 380g POE film is 6.84-7.22 yuan/m².

Production: The production schedule for PV-grade EVA in June decreased by 2.70% MoM, and the production schedule for PV film decreased by 3.1% MoM.

Inventory: The overall transaction volume of EVA was average, with strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market. The in-plant inventory of petrochemical plants remained at a low level.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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Global production schedule for solar cells is expected to decline by 4%-5% MoM in June, while that for PV film is expected to decrease by 3.1% MoM [SMM Silicon-Based PV Morning Meeting Summary] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)