Published: May 14, 2024 09:12
[SMM Early Assessment of Alumina Market: Rigid Downstream Demand Supports Continued Rise in Spot Prices] A small amount of transactions were completed in the domestic spot market on Monday, with downstream rigid demand driving most of the purchases. The focus of transactions continued to shift upward. Domestic alumina producers have been reducing production and resuming production in parallel. Before the batch resumption of domestic mines, there may not be a significant increase in short-term supply. On the demand side, according to SMM research, the operating capacity of domestic electrolytic aluminum in May maintained a mainly upward trend due to the steady recovery of power supply in Yunnan province and the steady resumption of remaining production capacity. SMM predicts that Yunnan will reach 350,000 tons of annual production capacity in May, while there are no major changes expected in other regions. Therefore, SMM expects that the tight balance of domestic alumina will continue in the short term, and spot prices may remain high and volatile in the short term. Follow-up attention should be paid to the resumption progress of enterprises in Shanxi and Henan provinces and the downstream procurement pace.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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